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Ilioupoli vs AEK

Greece Greece

Greek Cup 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Keet L. X. In: Stamatis G.
Out: Keet L. X.
46'
Sub
Ljubicic R. In: Mantalos P.
Out: Ljubicic R.
58'
Sub
Kosidis C. In: Koita A.
Out: Kosidis C.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with AEK advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Ilioupoli
20%
Draws
73%
AEK
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: AEK

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Very High Confidence
  • AEK carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans AEK's way, sitting at 90%.
  • AEK arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor AEK, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.4%
Ilioupoli Clean Sheet 11%
AEK Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilioupoli AEK
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 5 17
Draws 4 9
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 0.25 1.63
Goals Conceded 2 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 29, 2025 Greek Cup
Ilioupoli vs AEK
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilioupoli Compare

Avg xG / game 0.19
Avg xA / game 0.13

AEK Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaloskamis D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilioupoli 10 / 100
AEK 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilioupoli AEK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick AEK Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilioupoli's goal record stands at 43% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

AEK let in goals in 53% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Solid form: Ilioupoli remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilioupoli VS AEK
0.25 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilioupoli

(Home)
25 Apr
Ilioupoli
1 : 3
PAE Egaleo
19 Apr
PAE Chania (Kissamikos)
1 : 0
Ilioupoli
04 Apr
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Ellas Syrou
29 Mar
Ilioupoli
0 : 2
Athens Kallithea
21 Mar
Panargiakos
1 : 1
Ilioupoli
Page 1 of 6

AEK

(Away)
02 Aug
AEK
3 : 0
St. Truiden
29 Jul
AEK
1 : 2
Samsunspor
26 Jul
Zwolle
2 : 3
AEK
18 Jul
Groningen
1 : 2
AEK
15 Jul
Vitesse
0 : 0
AEK
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Olympiacos Piraeus 4 4 0 0 18:3 12
2 Levadiakos 4 4 0 0 10:3 12
3 AEK 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
4 Panathinaikos 4 4 0 0 6:2 12
5 Aris 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
6 OFI Crete 4 3 0 1 7:3 9
7 Volos 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
8 PAOK 4 2 1 1 10:7 7
9 Atromitos 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
10 Kifisia 4 1 2 1 4:4 5
11 Asteras Tripolis 4 1 1 2 7:4 4
12 Panetolikos 4 1 1 2 5:4 4
13 Iraklis FC 4 1 1 2 2:9 4
14 Athens Kallithea 4 1 0 3 3:5 3
15 Ellas Syrou 4 1 0 3 8:13 3
16 AEL Larissa 4 0 1 3 4:9 1
17 Kavala 4 0 1 3 3:8 1
18 Marko 4 0 1 3 4:10 1
19 Ilioupoli 4 0 0 4 1:10 0
20 PAE Egaleo 4 0 0 4 1:13 0
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Greek Cup 2025/2026 (Play Offs)