Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilirija vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Zorica J.
44' Event
Marosa A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Ilirija and Nafta finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Ilirija
15%
Draws
39%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Ilirija

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilirija haven't matched Nafta's recent run of results.
  • Ilirija are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 17%
Nafta Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilirija Nafta
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 14
Draws 6 6
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.38 1.47
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Nafta
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 2. SNL
Nafta vs Ilirija
2:1
Nov 18, 2023 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Nafta
2:1
Nov 9, 2023 2. SNL
Nafta vs Ilirija
2:0
Mar 2, 2023 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Nafta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilirija Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Zorica J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marosa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilirija 57 / 100
Nafta 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilirija Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilirija Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilirija's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Nafta has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Ilirija remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilirija VS Nafta
1.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilirija

(Home)
19 Sept
Ilirija
2 : 0
Krsko Posavje
12 Sept
Jesenice
3 : 1
Ilirija
04 Sept
Ilirija
0 : 0
Primorje
28 Aug
Slovan Ljubljana
2 : 1
Ilirija
22 Aug
Ilirija
2 : 0
Rudar
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Nafta

(Away)
19 Sept
Koper
2 : 0
Nafta
11 Sept
Grosuplje
1 : 2
Nafta
04 Sept
Nafta
3 : 1
Radomlje
30 Aug
Nafta
2 : 3
Maribor
21 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0
Nafta
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosuplje 30 23 6 1 70:26 75
2 Nafta 30 23 6 1 65:23 75
3 Triglav 30 20 4 6 72:28 64
4 Beltinci 30 18 6 6 55:25 60
5 Tabor Sezana 30 15 5 10 37:33 50
6 Bistrica 30 13 6 11 50:36 45
7 Dravinja 30 10 7 13 32:44 37
8 Rudar 30 9 10 11 46:39 37
9 Bilje 30 9 7 14 27:47 34
10 Jadran Dekani 30 8 9 13 40:46 33
11 Slovan Ljubljana 30 9 5 16 32:52 32
12 NK Krka 30 6 11 13 32:51 29
13 Ilirija 30 6 9 15 38:52 27
14 Krsko Posavje 30 7 5 18 24:62 26
15 ND Gorica 30 4 10 16 31:45 22
16 Jesenice 30 4 6 20 26:68 18
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)