Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilirija vs Nafta

Slovenia Slovenia

2. SNL 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Zorica J.
44' Event
Marosa A.

AI Match Summary

The 2. SNL 2025/2026 game between Ilirija and Nafta finished 0-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Nafta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Ilirija
39%
Draws
31%
Nafta
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Ilirija haven't matched Nafta's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular 2. SNL 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 21.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ilirija Clean Sheet 14%
Nafta Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilirija Nafta
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 5 17
Draws 9 6
Losses 16 6
Goals Scored 1 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.86 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.86 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Nafta
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 2. SNL
Nafta vs Ilirija
2:1
Nov 18, 2023 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Nafta
2:1
Nov 9, 2023 2. SNL
Nafta vs Ilirija
2:0
Mar 2, 2023 2. SNL
Ilirija vs Nafta
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilirija Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Nafta Compare

Top Goalscorer Zorica J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Marosa A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilirija 30 / 100
Nafta 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilirija Nafta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ILI Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilirija's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Nafta has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Away concern: Nafta has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Ilirija VS Nafta
1 Goals Scored 1.38
1.86 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 38%
43% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilirija

(Home)
22 Jul
TSC Backa Topola
4 : 0
Ilirija
22 May
Ilirija
1 : 3
Beltinci
15 May
ND Gorica
1 : 0
Ilirija
09 May
Ilirija
1 : 0
Bilje
06 May
Dravinja
2 : 1
Ilirija
Page 1 of 6

Nafta

(Away)
17 Jul
Nafta
0 : 2
Koper
11 Jul
Nafta
1 : 4
Partizan
04 Jul
Nafta
0 : 3
Honved
27 Jun
Nafta
0 : 3
Voluntari
31 May
Nafta
1 : 0
Primorje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Grosuplje30236170:2675
2Nafta30236165:2375
3Triglav30204672:2864
4Beltinci30186655:2560
5Tabor Sezana301551037:3350
6Bistrica301361150:3645
7Dravinja301071332:4437
8Rudar309101146:3937
9Bilje30971427:4734
10Jadran Dekani30891340:4633
11Slovan Ljubljana30951632:5232
12NK Krka306111332:5129
13Ilirija30691538:5227
14Krsko Posavje30751824:6226
15ND Gorica304101631:4522
16Jesenice30462026:6818
Promotion - Prva liga (Main)
Promotion - Prva liga 2025/2026 (Relegation)