Sport Picks

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Ilkeston vs Belper Town

World World

Club Friendly 2024
Tue, Jul 23, 2024
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilkeston host Belper Town in the Club Friendly 2024. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Ilkeston at 1.03 goals for, 1.62 against; Belper Town at 1.57 for, 1.68 against. Head-to-head, Ilkeston have won 0 to Belper Town's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 23, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 0.81) point toward Belper Town. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Ilkeston
15%
Draws
64%
Belper Town
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Belper Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Ilkeston haven't matched Belper Town's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Belper Town taking it.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ilkeston Clean Sheet 20%
Belper Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilkeston Belper Town
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 9 11
Draws 5 4
Losses 15 13
Goals Scored 1.03 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.68
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 23, 2024 Club Friendly
Ilkeston vs Belper Town
0:0
Jul 21, 2023 Club Friendly
Ilkeston vs Belper Town
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilkeston 24 / 100
Belper Town 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilkeston Belper Town

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Belper Town Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Belper Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.

Ilkeston found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Belper Town lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilkeston VS Belper Town
1.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.5
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 100%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilkeston

(Home)
12 Sept
Workington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
05 Sept
Leamington
3 : 1
Ilkeston
31 Aug
Ilkeston
0 : 2
Quorn
29 Aug
Bury FC
7 : 0
Ilkeston
25 Aug
Ashton United
1 : 1
Ilkeston
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Belper Town

(Away)
05 Sept
Belper Town
0 : 3
Evesham
29 Aug
Wellingborough
2 : 1
Belper Town
20 Sept
Rugby
3 : 2
Belper Town
06 Sept
Belper Town
2 : 1
Newcastle Town
26 Jul
Belper Town
1 : 4
Matlock
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