Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ilves W vs Gnistan W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Ilves W Logo

Ilves W

1 - 2
FT
Gnistan W Logo

Gnistan W

Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Laurinkoski H.
44' Event
Kraemer A.
Assist: Tiainen D.
46'
Sub
Laurinkoski H. In: Kemppainen S.
Out: Laurinkoski H.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Gnistan W in this Kansallinen Liiga Women matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gnistan W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Ilves W
15%
Draws
85%
Gnistan W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Gnistan W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

0% / Low Confidence
  • Gnistan W haven't matched Ilves W's recent run of results.
  • 0% — that's where the model lands on Ilves W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 15%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W Gnistan W
Matches Played 29 23
Wins 13 6
Draws 1 1
Losses 15 16
Goals Scored 1.9 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.76 2.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Gnistan W
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Gnistan W
2:2
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs Ilves W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ilves W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hakola L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gnistan W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kraemer A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Byrne K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 39 / 100
Gnistan W 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W Gnistan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ilves W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Gnistan W has conceded goals in 83% of their last 23 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Gnistan W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS Gnistan W
1.38 Goals Scored 1
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 63%
88% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves W

(Home)
19 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 3
Aland United W
12 Sept
Ilves W
2 : 5
HJK W
29 Aug
HPS W
1 : 0
Ilves W
22 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 1
Ilves W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 6

Gnistan W

(Away)
19 Sept
HJK W
6 : 1
Gnistan W
12 Sept
Gnistan W
1 : 3
HPS W
29 Aug
KuPS W
2 : 0
Gnistan W
23 Aug
Gnistan W
2 : 3
Aland United W
15 Aug
Ilves W
1 : 2
Gnistan W
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 HJK W 20 17 1 2 59:18 52
2 KuPS W 20 13 2 5 40:25 41
3 Aland United W 20 13 1 6 53:28 40
4 HPS W 20 10 5 5 30:23 35
5 Ilves W 20 7 1 12 33:42 22
6 Gnistan W 20 5 1 14 28:50 16
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)