Sport Picks

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Ilves W vs Gnistan W

Finland Finland

Kansallinen Liiga Women Tammelan Stadion, Tampere
Sat, Aug 15, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Ilves W host Gnistan W in the Kansallinen Liiga Women. This has Ilves W written all over it on paper. Ilves W have averaged 1.88 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Gnistan W's 1 scored and 2.5 conceded. Past meetings favor Ilves W slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 2.19 vs 1.19, favoring Ilves W. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Ilves W
40%
Draws
29%
Gnistan W
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Gnistan W haven't matched Ilves W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Ilves W Clean Sheet 20%
Gnistan W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ilves W Gnistan W
Matches Played 30 17
Wins 16 5
Draws 2 1
Losses 12 11
Goals Scored 1.88 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Ilves W vs Gnistan W
2:2
May 17, 2026 Kansallinen Liiga Women
Gnistan W vs Ilves W
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ilves W 32 / 100
Gnistan W 28 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ilves W Gnistan W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ilves W found the back of the net in 87% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Gnistan W let in goals in 76% of their last 17 matches.

Ilves W went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ilves W VS Gnistan W
1.88 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Ilves W

(Home)
25 Jul
HPS W
1 : 2
Ilves W
18 Jul
Ilves W
2 : 2
Gnistan W
12 Jul
KuPS W
2 : 4
Ilves W
04 Jul
Ilves W
0 : 2
Aland United W
27 Jun
Ilves W
1 : 3
HJK W
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Gnistan W

(Away)
25 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
KuPS W
18 Jul
Ilves W
2 : 2
Gnistan W
12 Jul
Gnistan W
0 : 1
HJK W
05 Jul
VIFK Vaasa W
0 : 1
Gnistan W
27 Jun
Gnistan W
3 : 0
PK-35 Vantaa W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1HJK W14130140:939
2Aland United W1491441:1928
3KuPS W1491431:2128
4HPS W1473419:1524
5Ilves W1471627:2622
6Gnistan W1441921:3213
Promotion - Champions League Women 2027/2028 (Qualification - First stage)
Promotion - UEFA Europa Cup Women 2027/2028 (Qualification)