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Imperatriz vs Pinheiro

Brazil Brazil

Maranhense 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
Papel
54' Event
Papel
57' Event
Neto

AI Match Summary

The Maranhense 2025 game between Imperatriz and Pinheiro finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Imperatriz.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Imperatriz
35%
Draws
32%
Pinheiro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Imperatriz come out ahead of Pinheiro on wins alone.
  • 33% — that's where the model lands on Imperatriz taking it.
  • Regular Maranhense 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 68%
Pinheiro Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperatriz Pinheiro
Matches Played 40 30
Wins 13 8
Draws 13 11
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.02 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.05 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 6, 2025 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Imperatriz
1:1
Jan 18, 2025 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Pinheiro
2:1
Mar 9, 2024 Maranhense
Imperatriz vs Pinheiro
2:1
Jan 24, 2024 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Imperatriz
2:2
Mar 1, 2021 Maranhense
Pinheiro vs Imperatriz
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperatriz Compare

Top Goalscorer Papel
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Pinheiro Compare

Top Goalscorer Neto
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperatriz 50 / 100
Pinheiro 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperatriz Pinheiro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imperatriz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperatriz scored in 60% of their last 40 games.

Pinheiro's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Imperatriz has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Imperatriz VS Pinheiro
1.5 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperatriz

(Home)
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
Page 1 of 8

Pinheiro

(Away)
22 Jul
Lago Verde
2 : 2
Pinheiro
18 Jul
Pinheiro
0 : 2
Lago Verde
15 Jul
Sao Luis
0 : 1
Pinheiro
11 Jul
Pinheiro
1 : 1
Sao Luis
28 Jun
Pinheiro
2 : 1
Viana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 IAPE 14 7 3 4 18:13 24
2 Sampaio Correa 14 6 5 3 18:11 23
3 Imperatriz 14 6 5 3 17:10 23
4 Maranhao 14 6 5 3 16:10 23
5 Moto Club 14 6 5 3 15:9 23
6 Tuntum 14 4 5 5 16:14 17
7 Pinheiro 14 4 4 6 13:15 16
8 Viana 14 1 0 13 5:36 3
Promotion - Maranhense 2025 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Maranhense 2 (Main)