Sport Picks

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Imperatriz vs Retro

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Fernandinho
44'
Sub
Gleidson In: Sabia M.
Out: Gleidson
44'
Luiz Beserra

AI Match Summary

Retro in this Copa do Nordeste tie, finishing 0-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Imperatriz
33%
Draws
27%
Retro
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Imperatriz

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Retro have won more games recently than Imperatriz.
  • Imperatriz are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Retro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Retro, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 68%
Retro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperatriz Retro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.5 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Imperatriz vs Retro
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperatriz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Retro Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperatriz 50 / 100
Retro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperatriz Retro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IMP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retro has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Imperatriz's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Imperatriz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Imperatriz VS Retro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperatriz

(Home)
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
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Retro

(Away)
14 Jun
Retro
3 : 0
Treze PB
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0
Retro
24 May
Retro
1 : 1
Lagarto
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0
Retro
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