Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imperatriz vs Retro

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Fernandinho
44'
Sub
Gleidson In: Sabia M.
Out: Gleidson
44'
Luiz Beserra

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Imperatriz
35%
Draws
32%
Retro
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Retro have won more games recently than Imperatriz.
  • Imperatriz are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Retro arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Retro, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Imperatriz Clean Sheet 68%
Retro Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperatriz Retro
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 10
Draws 11 8
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 0.93 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Imperatriz vs Retro
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperatriz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Retro Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandinho
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperatriz 50 / 100
Retro 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperatriz Retro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Imperatriz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Retro has conceded goals in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Imperatriz's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Imperatriz remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Imperatriz VS Retro
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperatriz

(Home)
12 Jul
Ferroviario
3 : 0
Imperatriz
04 Jul
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Ferroviario
27 Jun
Maracana
0 : 1
Imperatriz
20 Jun
Imperatriz
1 : 1
Maracana
06 Jun
Imperatriz
4 : 0
Tuna Luso
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Retro

(Away)
14 Jun
Retro
3 : 0
Treze PB
31 May
Serra Branca
0 : 0
Retro
24 May
Retro
1 : 1
Lagarto
17 May
Retro
2 : 1
Decisao
09 May
Sergipe
1 : 0
Retro
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