Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Imperia Calcio vs Asti Calcio

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Casagrande D.
75' Event
Boccia A.
84' Event
Mazzucco L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Imperia Calcio
40%
Draws
29%
Asti Calcio
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Attack-wise there's a gap: Asti Calcio at 1.13 per game, Imperia Calcio at 1.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 19%
Asti Calcio Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperia Calcio Asti Calcio
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 10 10
Draws 10 8
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.38 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 2, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Asti Calcio
2:2
Nov 23, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Imperia Calcio
0:1
Feb 9, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Asti Calcio
4:1
Oct 13, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Asti Calcio vs Imperia Calcio
1:0
Feb 16, 2022 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Asti Calcio
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Casagrande D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Boccia A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Asti Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazzucco L.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperia Calcio 32 / 100
Asti Calcio 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperia Calcio Asti Calcio

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperia Calcio's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Asti Calcio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Imperia Calcio has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Imperia Calcio VS Asti Calcio
1 Goals Scored 1.13
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperia Calcio

(Home)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Asti Calcio

(Away)
10 May
Cairese
0 : 1
Asti Calcio
03 May
Club Milano
4 : 1
Asti Calcio
26 Apr
Asti Calcio
1 : 1
Ligorna
19 Apr
Sestri Levante
1 : 2
Asti Calcio
12 Apr
Asti Calcio
2 : 1
Saluzzo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Vado34246469:2478
2Ligorna34219464:2672
3AS Biellese34169948:2957
4Varese FC341681043:4356
5Chisola341671144:3655
6Sestri Levante341591054:3454
7Sanremese3413101137:3049
8Valenzana341291333:4845
9Celle Varazze341281441:4744
10Saluzzo3411101348:4443
11Club Milano341261643:4942
12Imperia Calcio3410111336:4441
13Cairese349131229:3440
14Derthona FbC341171636:4640
15Gozzano349121337:4239
16Asti Calcio348111532:4235
17Lavagnese345121732:5227
18NovaRomentin34632526:8216
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)