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Imperia Calcio vs Chisola

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group A
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Bresciani N.
70' Event
Favale D.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group A matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Imperia Calcio
35%
Draws
35%
Chisola
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Medium Confidence
  • Imperia Calcio haven't matched Chisola's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Imperia Calcio's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Imperia Calcio Clean Sheet 20%
Chisola Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Imperia Calcio Chisola
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 10 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1 1
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 1, 2026 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Chisola
1:1
Oct 26, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Imperia Calcio
0:1
Mar 30, 2025 Serie D - Group A
Imperia Calcio vs Chisola
1:2
Nov 17, 2024 Serie D - Group A
Chisola vs Imperia Calcio
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Imperia Calcio Compare

Top Goalscorer Bresciani N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Chisola Compare

Top Goalscorer Favale D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Imperia Calcio 42 / 100
Chisola 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Imperia Calcio Chisola

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Imperia Calcio's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Chisola conceded in 74% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.75 goals when they meet.

Imperia Calcio went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Imperia Calcio VS Chisola
1 Goals Scored 1
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Imperia Calcio

(Home)
03 May
Imperia Calcio
0 : 1
Celle Varazze
26 Apr
Derthona FbC
0 : 0
Imperia Calcio
19 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Sanremese
12 Apr
NovaRomentin
1 : 2
Imperia Calcio
02 Apr
Imperia Calcio
2 : 2
Asti Calcio
Page 1 of 6

Chisola

(Away)
10 May
Ligorna
1 : 0
Chisola
03 May
Valenzana
2 : 3
Chisola
26 Apr
Chisola
4 : 2
Lavagnese
19 Apr
Gozzano
3 : 2
Chisola
12 Apr
Chisola
0 : 0
Ligorna
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vado 34 24 6 4 69:24 78
2 Ligorna 34 21 9 4 64:26 72
3 AS Biellese 34 16 9 9 48:29 57
4 Varese FC 34 16 8 10 43:43 56
5 Chisola 34 16 7 11 44:36 55
6 Sestri Levante 34 15 9 10 54:34 54
7 Sanremese 34 13 10 11 37:30 49
8 Valenzana 34 12 9 13 33:48 45
9 Celle Varazze 34 12 8 14 41:47 44
10 Saluzzo 34 11 10 13 48:44 43
11 Club Milano 34 12 6 16 43:49 42
12 Imperia Calcio 34 10 11 13 36:44 41
13 Cairese 34 9 13 12 29:34 40
14 Derthona FbC 34 11 7 16 36:46 40
15 Gozzano 34 9 12 13 37:42 39
16 Asti Calcio 34 8 11 15 32:42 35
17 Lavagnese 34 5 12 17 32:52 27
18 NovaRomentin 34 6 3 25 26:82 16
Promotion - Serie D - Group A (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group A (Play Out)