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Inac Kobe Leonesa W vs Omiya Ardija W

Japan Japan

WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 Noevir Stadium, Kobe
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Kanehira R.
8' Event
Michigami A.
26' Event
Hamada M.

AI Match Summary

Omiya Ardija W in this WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-4. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
6%
Draws
4%
Omiya Ardija W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Inac Kobe Leonesa W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Inac Kobe Leonesa W have won more games recently than Omiya Ardija W.
  • Inac Kobe Leonesa W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Inac Kobe Leonesa W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Inac Kobe Leonesa W, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Inac Kobe Leonesa W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Inac Kobe Leonesa W Clean Sheet 11%
Omiya Ardija W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inac Kobe Leonesa W Omiya Ardija W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 21 11
Draws 2 7
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.13 2.63
Goals Conceded 1 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 5, 2026 WE League Women
Inac Kobe Leonesa W vs Omiya Ardija W
2:1
Mar 7, 2026 WE League Cup Women
Inac Kobe Leonesa W vs Omiya Ardija W
1:4
Nov 30, 2025 WE League Cup Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Inac Kobe Leonesa W
2:3
Aug 30, 2025 WE League Women
Omiya Ardija W vs Inac Kobe Leonesa W
0:1
Apr 12, 2025 WE League Women
Inac Kobe Leonesa W vs Omiya Ardija W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inac Kobe Leonesa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Michigami A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Omiya Ardija W Compare

Top Goalscorer Kanehira R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Hamada M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inac Kobe Leonesa W 83 / 100
Omiya Ardija W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inac Kobe Leonesa W Omiya Ardija W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inac Kobe Leonesa W's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Omiya Ardija W conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Inac Kobe Leonesa W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inac Kobe Leonesa W VS Omiya Ardija W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Inac Kobe Leonesa W

(Home)
16 May
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
0 : 1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima W
10 May
Saitama W
0 : 1
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
03 May
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
5 : 1
AC Parceiro Nagano W
25 Apr
Mynavi Sendai W
1 : 2
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
05 Apr
Inac Kobe Leonesa W
2 : 1
Omiya Ardija W
Page 1 of 6

Omiya Ardija W

(Away)
25 Jul
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 4
Bayern Munich W
16 May
Omiya Ardija W
0 : 4
Nojima Stella W
10 May
Omiya Ardija W
1 : 1
JEF United W
02 May
Albirex Niigata W
0 : 0
Omiya Ardija W
29 Apr
Omiya Ardija W
2 : 3
Beleza W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Omiya Ardija W640217:714
2Sanfrecce Hiroshima W650112:613
3Inac Kobe Leonesa W62048:136
4Saitama W61055:163
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Beleza W640210:714
2Mynavi Sendai W64025:312
3JEF United W64025:310
4AC Parceiro Nagano W60065:120
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1C-Osaka W64027:612
2Urawa W640213:1011
3Albirex Niigata W62047:87
4Nojima Stella W62048:116
Promotion - WE League Cup Women 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams