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Inchicore Athletic FC vs Crumlin Utd

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2018
Sat, Apr 21, 2018
2 - 1
06:00 PM
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-1, with Inchicore Athletic FC advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Inchicore Athletic FC
39%
Draws
30%
Crumlin Utd
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Crumlin Utd come out ahead of Inchicore Athletic FC on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Crumlin Utd arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Inchicore Athletic FC, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 87%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 87%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Inchicore Athletic FC Clean Sheet 10%
Crumlin Utd Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inchicore Athletic FC Crumlin Utd
Matches Played 2 29
Wins 1 14
Draws 0 1
Losses 1 14
Goals Scored 1 1.88
Goals Conceded 3 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.00 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 21, 2018 FAI Cup
Inchicore Athletic FC vs Crumlin Utd
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inchicore Athletic FC 30 / 100
Crumlin Utd 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inchicore Athletic FC Crumlin Utd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CRU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Crumlin Utd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Inchicore Athletic FC's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Recent resilience: Inchicore Athletic FC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inchicore Athletic FC VS Crumlin Utd
1 Goals Scored 1.88
3 Goals Conceded 2.25
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Inchicore Athletic FC

(Home)
10 Aug
Inchicore Athletic FC
0 : 5
St. Patricks
21 Apr
Inchicore Athletic FC
2 : 1
Crumlin Utd

Crumlin Utd

(Away)
17 Jul
Galway United
4 : 0
Crumlin Utd
23 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 0
Salthill
18 Jul
Drogheda
5 : 0
Crumlin Utd
16 May
Crumlin Utd
4 : 2
Lucan Utd
10 Oct
Crumlin Utd
3 : 0
Bluebell Utd
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Dundalk-
TBD-
TBD-
Cobh Ramblers-
Bray-
TBD-
TBD-
Finn Harps-
Cabinteely-
TBD-
TBD-
Newmarket Celtic-
Cockhill-
TBD-
TBD-
Limerick-
Waterford-
TBD-
Kilnamanagh1
Skerries Town2
Shamrock Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Drogheda-
CIE Ranch1
Letterkenny Rovers0
Firhouse2
Dublin Bus4
Pike Rovers2
Avondale United0
TBD-
UC Dublin-
Cork City-
TBD-
TBD-
Home Farm-
Leeds Cork3
St. Michaels1
Everton AFC2
Maynooth University3
Shelbourne-
TBD-
TBD-
Athlone-
Sligo Rovers-
TBD-
TBD-
Longford-
Derry City-
TBD-
TBD-
Blarney Utd-
Inchicore Athletic FC2
Crumlin Utd1
TBD-
St. Patricks-
Galway United-
TBD-
Cherry Orchard0
North End United2
Wexford-
TBD-
TBD-
Bohemians-
1/16-finals
Dundalk3
Cobh Ramblers0
Bray1
Finn Harps3
Cabinteely2
Newmarket Celtic1
Cockhill0
Limerick2
Waterford4
Skerries Town1
Shamrock Rovers0
Drogheda1
CIE Ranch1
Dublin Bus0
Pike Rovers0
UC Dublin2
Cork City5
Home Farm1
Leeds Cork0
Maynooth University2
Shelbourne4
Athlone0
Sligo Rovers0
Longford1
Derry City12
Blarney Utd2
Inchicore Athletic FC0
St. Patricks5
Galway United4
North End United0
Wexford0
Bohemians7
1/8-finals
Dundalk2
Finn Harps0
Cabinteely1
Limerick2
Waterford1
Drogheda0
CIE Ranch2
UC Dublin6
Cork City4
Maynooth University0
Shelbourne0
Longford2
Derry City1
St. Patricks0
Galway United0
Bohemians2
Quarter-finals
Dundalk4
Limerick0
Waterford1
UC Dublin2
Cork City7
Longford0
Derry City1
Bohemians3
Semi-finals
Dundalk1
UC Dublin0
Cork City3
Bohemians2
Final
Dundalk2
Cork City1