Sport Picks
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Brazil
Copa Norte Arena Acreana (Florestao), Rio Branco 
Match Events
12'
12'
Gomes C.
58'
58'
Ancelmo
61'
61'
Patrick T.
AI Match Summary
Independencia Futebol Clube in this Copa Norte tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Gremio Atletico Sampaio have won more games recently than Independencia Futebol Clube.
- 90% — that's where the model lands on Independencia Futebol Clube taking it.
- Gremio Atletico Sampaio arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Independencia Futebol Clube, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- History favors Independencia Futebol Clube here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 68%
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independencia Futebol Clube | Gremio Atletico Sampaio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 34 |
| Wins | 10 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 5 |
| Losses | 15 | 16 |
| Goals Scored | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.13 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 1.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 29, 2026 Copa Norte
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3:2
Jul 5, 2025 Serie D
Gremio Atletico Sampaio vs Independencia Futebol Clube
1:2
May 10, 2025 Serie D
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Gremio Atletico Sampaio
4:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Independencia Futebol Clube Compare
Top Goalscorer Gomes C.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ancelmo
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Gremio Atletico Sampaio Compare
Top Goalscorer Patrick T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independencia Futebol Clube 95 / 100
Gremio Atletico Sampaio 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independencia Futebol Clube Gremio Atletico Sampaio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.33 goals.
Independencia Futebol Clube found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (32 games).
Gremio Atletico Sampaio's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 34 matches.
Independencia Futebol Clube went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Independencia Futebol Clube VS Gremio Atletico Sampaio
1.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Independencia Futebol Clube
(Home) 28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1 Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2 Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4 Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1 Galvez
Page 1 of 7
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2 Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2 Guapore
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1 Galvez
17 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
1 : 0 Araguaina
02 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
1 : 1 Porto Velho
Page 1 of 4
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
(Away) 14 Jun
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
3 : 1 Manaus FC
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
23 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
0 : 1 Nacional-AM (Manaus)
16 May
Gremio Atletico Sampaio
2 : 3 Monte Roraima
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Page 1 of 7
30 May
Sao Raimundo RR
4 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
10 May
Manauara
0 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
29 Apr
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 2 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
26 Apr
Monte Roraima
0 : 0 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
19 Apr
Nacional-AM (Manaus)
3 : 2 Gremio Atletico Sampaio
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional-AM (Manaus) | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14:1 | 13 |
| 2 | Paysandu PA | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:10 | 9 |
| 3 | Guapore | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Trem | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 6 |
| 5 | Independencia Futebol Clube | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:8 | 5 |
| 6 | Gremio Atletico Sampaio | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aguia De Maraba | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 12:6 | 13 |
| 2 | Porto Velho | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:5 | 10 |
| 3 | Amazonas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Remo | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 7 |
| 5 | Galvez | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:17 | 3 |
| 6 | Monte Roraima | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 9:15 | 2 |
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)
