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Independencia Futebol Clube vs Guapore

Brazil Brazil

Copa Norte Arena Acreana (Florestao), Rio Branco
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AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-0. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Independencia Futebol Clube
22%
Draws
18%
Guapore
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Guapore carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Independencia Futebol Clube a 60% chance of winning this.
  • Guapore arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 68%
Guapore Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube Guapore
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 8 15
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 6
Goals Scored 2 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Serie D
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Guapore
2:2
Apr 4, 2026 Serie D
Guapore vs Independencia Futebol Clube
1:0
Mar 26, 2026 Copa Norte
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Guapore
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube 68 / 100
Guapore 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube Guapore

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Independencia Futebol Clube scored in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Independencia Futebol Clube has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guapore has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube VS Guapore
2 Goals Scored 1.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Independencia Futebol Clube

(Home)
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
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Guapore

(Away)
12 Jul
Guapore
0 : 0
Luverdense
04 Jul
Luverdense
1 : 0
Guapore
28 Jun
Guapore
2 : 0
Monte Roraima
20 Jun
Monte Roraima
3 : 2
Guapore
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
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League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nacional-AM (Manaus)541014:113
2Paysandu PA53028:109
3Guapore52124:67
4Trem520311:116
5Independencia Futebol Clube51224:85
6Gremio Atletico Sampaio510410:153
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Aguia De Maraba541012:613
2Porto Velho531110:510
3Amazonas52129:67
4Remo52126:67
5Galvez51049:173
6Monte Roraima50239:152
Promotion - Copa Norte (Play Offs)