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Independencia Futebol Clube vs Placido de Castro

Brazil Brazil

Acreano 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Pablo Tanque
34' Event
Pablo Tanque
60'
Ruan

AI Match Summary

The Acreano 2023 game between Independencia Futebol Clube and Placido de Castro finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independencia Futebol Clube.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Independencia Futebol Clube
6%
Draws
4%
Placido de Castro
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Placido de Castro haven't matched Independencia Futebol Clube's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Independencia Futebol Clube a 90% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Acreano 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Independencia Futebol Clube have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 20%
Placido de Castro Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube Placido de Castro
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 14 6
Draws 8 6
Losses 16 18
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.13 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:3
Apr 10, 2023 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Placido de Castro
4:0
Feb 24, 2019 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Placido de Castro
1:1
May 3, 2012 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs Placido de Castro
2:1
Apr 1, 2012 Acreano
Placido de Castro vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independencia Futebol Clube Compare

Top Goalscorer Pablo Tanque
3 Goals
Assists Leader Cezario L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Placido de Castro Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube 85 / 100
Placido de Castro 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube Placido de Castro

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Placido de Castro let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Independencia Futebol Clube's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 38 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Independencia Futebol Clube went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.13 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independencia Futebol Clube

(Home)
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
Page 1 of 8

Placido de Castro

(Away)
11 Sept
Atletico Acreano
7 : 0
Placido de Castro
04 Sept
Sao Francisco FC (AC)
3 : 0
Placido de Castro
26 Aug
Placido de Castro
0 : 8
Santa Cruz AC
21 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 0
Nauas EC
16 Aug
Placido de Castro
1 : 3
Andira
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1SC Humaita540117:312
2Independencia Futebol Clube540111:312
3Rio Branco AC54018:512
4Placido de Castro520312:146
5Senador Guiomard51044:143
6Andira50055:180
Promotion - Acreano 2023 (Second stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Sao Francisco FC (AC)431012:710
2Galvez422016:58
3Acreano421112:67
4Nauas EC41036:133
5Vasco da Gama AC40044:190
Promotion - Acreano 2023 (Second stage)