Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Independencia Futebol Clube vs SC Humaita

Brazil Brazil

Acreano
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Coutinho L.
52' Event
Diguda
69' Event
Lima A.

AI Match Summary

SC Humaita in this Acreano matchup, with the score ending 0-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SC Humaita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Independencia Futebol Clube
6%
Draws
4%
SC Humaita
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Independencia Futebol Clube lately — more wins on the board than SC Humaita.
  • Win probability leans Independencia Futebol Clube's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Acreano form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 68%
SC Humaita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube SC Humaita
Matches Played 40 40
Wins 15 9
Draws 9 9
Losses 16 22
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie D
SC Humaita vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:4
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D
Independencia Futebol Clube vs SC Humaita
3:0
Jan 28, 2026 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs SC Humaita
0:3
Jul 12, 2025 Serie D
Independencia Futebol Clube vs SC Humaita
0:1
May 4, 2025 Serie D
SC Humaita vs Independencia Futebol Clube
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independencia Futebol Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

SC Humaita Compare

Top Goalscorer Coutinho L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diguda
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube 95 / 100
SC Humaita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube SC Humaita

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SC Humaita has conceded goals in 80% of their last 40 outings.

Away concern: SC Humaita has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Independencia Futebol Clube scored in 73% of their last 40 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube VS SC Humaita
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Independencia Futebol Clube

(Home)
28 Jun
Manauara
1 : 1
Independencia Futebol Clube
21 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
0 : 2
Manauara
14 Jun
Independencia Futebol Clube
2 : 2
Guapore
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
24 May
Independencia Futebol Clube
3 : 1
Galvez
Page 1 of 8

SC Humaita

(Away)
14 Jun
Porto Velho
13 : 0
SC Humaita
31 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Independencia Futebol Clube
23 May
SC Humaita
0 : 4
Guapore
16 May
Galvez
4 : 2
SC Humaita
10 May
SC Humaita
0 : 7
Araguaina
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1
Promotion - Acreano (Play Offs)
Relegation - Acreano 2 2027 (Main)