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Independencia Futebol Clube vs SC Humaita

Brazil Brazil

Acreano
Our Tip

Match Events

32' Event
Coutinho L.
52' Event
Diguda
69' Event
Lima A.

AI Match Summary

Independencia Futebol Clube host SC Humaita in the Acreano. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. SC Humaita have shipped 4 goals a game lately, while Independencia Futebol Clube have conceded 1.25 and scored 1.5. Head-to-head, Independencia Futebol Clube have won 3 to SC Humaita's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on May 31, 2026, ending 0:4. xG projections (2.75 - 0.81) back Independencia Futebol Clube to edge this. Over markets look the better angle than the result itself.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Independencia Futebol Clube
6%
Draws
4%
SC Humaita
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independencia Futebol Clube

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Independencia Futebol Clube has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to SC Humaita.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Independencia Futebol Clube.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Acreano provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Independencia Futebol Clube Clean Sheet 68%
SC Humaita Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independencia Futebol Clube SC Humaita
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 11 7
Draws 9 6
Losses 15 20
Goals Scored 1.5 0.38
Goals Conceded 1.25 4
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 4.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 31, 2026 Serie D
SC Humaita vs Independencia Futebol Clube
0:4
Apr 12, 2026 Serie D
Independencia Futebol Clube vs SC Humaita
3:0
Jan 28, 2026 Acreano
Independencia Futebol Clube vs SC Humaita
0:3
Jul 12, 2025 Serie D
Independencia Futebol Clube vs SC Humaita
0:1
May 4, 2025 Serie D
SC Humaita vs Independencia Futebol Clube
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independencia Futebol Clube Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

SC Humaita Compare

Top Goalscorer Coutinho L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diguda
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independencia Futebol Clube 95 / 100
SC Humaita 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independencia Futebol Clube SC Humaita

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Independencia Futebol Clube scored in 71% of their last 35 games.

SC Humaita let in goals in 79% of their last 33 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Independencia Futebol Clube went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

SC Humaita lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independencia Futebol Clube VS SC Humaita
1.5 Goals Scored 0.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Galvez751115:616
2SC Humaita743015:315
3Santa Cruz AC741215:713
4Rio Branco AC741214:913
5Independencia Futebol Clube72149:117
6Senador Guiomard71247:125
7Sao Francisco FC (AC)71154:264
8Vasco da Gama AC712410:15-1