Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Independente SP in this Paulista A4 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independente SP.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
90%
6%
4%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Independente SP
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Catanduva FC haven't matched Independente SP's recent run of results.
- Independente SP are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 13%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Independente SP Clean Sheet 20%
Catanduva FC Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independente SP | Catanduva FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 10 |
| Losses | 9 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 2.5 | 0.6 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.63 | 1.2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.50 | 0.60 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.63 | 1.20 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jul 15, 2023 Paulista A4
Catanduva FC vs Independente SP
2:0
Jul 9, 2023 Paulista A4
Independente SP vs Catanduva FC
2:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Independente SP 85 / 100
Catanduva FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Independente SP Catanduva FC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independente SP has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Independente SP found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).
Catanduva FC has conceded goals in 60% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Scoring Trends
Independente SP VS Catanduva FC
2.5 Goals Scored 0.6
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.2
75% Over 1.5 60%
50% Over 2.5 40%
38% Over 3.5 20%
Recent Form & Match History
Independente SP
(Home) 19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
12 Jul
Paulinense
0 : 1 Independente SP
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
28 Jun
Tupa
0 : 2 Independente SP
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
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19 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 1 Paulinense
05 Jul
Independente SP
2 : 0 Tupa
20 Jun
Independente SP
17 : 0 Catanduvense
07 Jun
Independente SP
0 : 1 Santacruzense
30 May
Independente SP
4 : 1 Mogi Mirim
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Catanduva FC
(Away) 21 Mar
Catanduva FC
1 : 3 Paulista
15 Mar
Bandeirante
1 : 2 Catanduva FC
11 Mar
Catanduva FC
0 : 0 Desportivo
07 Mar
Catanduva FC
0 : 2 Uniao Sao Joao
04 Mar
XV de Jau
0 : 0 Catanduva FC
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15 Mar
Bandeirante
1 : 2 Catanduva FC
04 Mar
XV de Jau
0 : 0 Catanduva FC
01 Mar
Portuguesa Santista
3 : 1 Catanduva FC
21 Feb
Rio Branco SP
0 : 0 Catanduva FC
11 Feb
EC Sao Bernardo
1 : 0 Catanduva FC
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penapolense | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 5:2 | 11 |
| 2 | Francana | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 8 |
| 3 | Jacarei FC | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 4:4 | 7 |
| 4 | Amparo SP | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | 6 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vocem | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6:3 | 12 |
| 2 | Taquaritinga | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Maua FC | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 6 |
| 4 | Manthiqueira | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2:13 | 3 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | XV de Jau | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11:1 | 16 |
| 2 | Uniao Barbarense | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:8 | 7 |
| 3 | Tanabi | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | 5 |
| 4 | Mauaense | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | 5 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SKA Brasil | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 21:1 | 14 |
| 2 | Catanduva FC | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 11 |
| 3 | Independente SP | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | 9 |
| 4 | Guarulhos | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1:24 | 0 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 5)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Uniao Sao Joao | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 7:3 | 13 |
| 2 | America SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | 10 |
| 3 | Nacional SP | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 7:5 | 10 |
| 4 | Flamengo SP | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:10 | 1 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams
League Standings (Group 6)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sao-Carlense | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:2 | 12 |
| 2 | Rio Branco SP | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 10:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Jabaquara | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:6 | 8 |
| 4 | Fernandopolis | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3:15 | 3 |
Promotion - Paulista A4 2023 (Third stage)
Ranking of third-placed teams