Sport Picks
Independiente vs Bolivar
Bolivia
Copa Pacena Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre 
AI Match Summary
The first leg ended 1-1. The second leg of this knockout tie follows. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Bolivar have shipped 1.21 goals a game lately, while Independiente have conceded 1.81 and scored 1.48. Past meetings favor Bolivar slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 11, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.25 xG vs 2.69) point toward Bolivar. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Bolivar come out ahead of Independiente on wins alone.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
- Bolivar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Bolivar, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 79%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Independiente | Bolivar |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 33 |
| Wins | 11 | 20 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 15 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.48 | 2.3 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.81 | 1.21 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 2.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Independiente scored in 71% of their last 31 outings.
Bolivar has conceded goals in 79% of their last 33 outings.
H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.
Solid form: Independiente remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Independiente
(Home)Bolivar
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurora | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 13 |
| 2 | San Antonio Bulo Bulo | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Real Potosi | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | 7 |
| 4 | Academia del Balompie | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nacional Potosi | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 18:4 | 10 |
| 2 | Tomayapo | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:10 | 6 |
| 3 | Always Ready | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:17 | 6 |
| 4 | Real Oruro | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | 3 |
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | The Strongest | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:8 | 10 |
| 2 | Oriente Petrolero | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:6 | 9 |
| 3 | Guabira | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:10 | 6 |
| 4 | Club Universitario de Vinto | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:9 | 4 |
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bolivar | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:4 | 8 |
| 2 | Independiente | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 11:7 | 7 |
| 3 | GV San Jose | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:8 | 3 |
| 4 | Blooming | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8:12 | 3 |
