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Independiente vs GV San Jose Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Olímpico Patria, Sucre
Independiente Logo

Independiente

1 - 0
FT
GV San Jose Logo

GV San Jose

Our Tip

Match Events

29' Event
Zamora R.
44'
Cardozo R.
44'
Navarro D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Independiente in this Division Profesional matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Independiente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Independiente
15%
Draws
21%
GV San Jose
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Independiente have won more games recently than GV San Jose.
  • Win probability leans Independiente's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Independiente Clean Sheet 17%
GV San Jose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente GV San Jose
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 8
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.43 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.77 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Copa Pacena
GV San Jose vs Independiente
1:3
Aug 17, 2026 Division Profesional
Independiente vs GV San Jose
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 Division Profesional
GV San Jose vs Independiente
2:1
Apr 6, 2025 Division Profesional
Independiente vs GV San Jose
0:2
Sep 28, 2024 Division Profesional
Independiente vs GV San Jose
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Independiente Compare

Top Goalscorer Zamora R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

GV San Jose Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 84 / 100
GV San Jose 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente GV San Jose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Independiente Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GV San Jose let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Independiente scored in 73% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Independiente went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS GV San Jose
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
2 Goals Conceded 2.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
02 Oct
Blooming
0 : 1
Independiente
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3
Independiente
22 Sept
Independiente
5 : 1
Tomayapo
18 Sept
Independiente
1 : 3
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
13 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1
Independiente
Page 1 of 6

GV San Jose

(Away)
04 Oct
GV San Jose
3 : 2
Blooming
01 Oct
Bolivar
3 : 2
GV San Jose
27 Sept
GV San Jose
1 : 3
Independiente
20 Sept
Real Oruro
1 : 0
GV San Jose
18 Sept
Bolivar
4 : 2
GV San Jose
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 36:27 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 20 6 3 11 32:50 21
12 Academia del Balompie 20 6 2 12 31:45 20
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20 6 2 12 21:40 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 20 5 3 12 26:39 18
15 Tomayapo 20 4 4 12 15:39 16
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)