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Independiente vs Industrial Aviles

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2018
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AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2018 game between Independiente and Industrial Aviles finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Independiente
17%
Draws
13%
Industrial Aviles
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Industrial Aviles come out ahead of Independiente on wins alone.
  • Model gives Independiente a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Nacional B 2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Independiente Clean Sheet 16%
Industrial Aviles Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Independiente Industrial Aviles
Matches Played 32 23
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 19 7
Goals Scored 0.88 0
Goals Conceded 1.88 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente vs Industrial Aviles
1:1
Nov 25, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Industrial Aviles vs Independiente
3:2
Oct 10, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente vs Industrial Aviles
2:1
Sep 12, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Industrial Aviles vs Independiente
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Independiente 66 / 100
Industrial Aviles 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Independiente Industrial Aviles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Independiente scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Industrial Aviles's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 23 matches.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Away concern: Industrial Aviles has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Independiente VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Independiente

(Home)
25 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2
Oriente Petrolero
21 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2
Real Potosi
16 Jul
Academia del Balompie
3 : 1
Independiente
12 Jul
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Independiente
27 May
Racing Club
2 : 0
Independiente
Page 1 of 7

Industrial Aviles

(Away)
27 Dec
Destroyers
2 : 0
Industrial Aviles
23 Dec
Industrial Aviles
1 : 2
Destroyers
18 Dec
Industrial Aviles
0 : 3
Always Ready
15 Dec
Always Ready
5 : 0
Industrial Aviles
08 Dec
Industrial Aviles
1 : 0
Always Ready
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Always Ready1292136:1029
2Club Universitario de Vinto1272317:1223
3Em Huanuni1261518:2219
4Fatic1242624:2414
5Sur-Car1242621:2214
6Deportivo Bata de Quillacollo1232714:2811
7Enrique Happ1231818:3010
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Gatty Ribeiro De Pado1063119:621
2Mariscal Sucre1061328:1419
3Torre Fuerte1054125:1219
4Universidad Crucena1031617:2310
5CD Kivon1031616:2610
6Libertad Gran Mamore1012711:355
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Industrial Aviles14101329:1631
2Independiente1492335:1929
3Atletico Bermejo1484220:1228
4Petrolero de Yacuiba1480624:1124
5Ferrocarril Palmeiras1454523:2619
6Rosario Central1432914:3711
7Juventud Unida Pocitos1423924:379
8Deportivo Aleman14221028:398
Promotion - Nacional B 2018 (Play Offs)