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India U17 W vs Japan U17 W Prediction & H2H Stats

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U17 Suzhou Taihu Football Sports Centre (Pitch 4), Suzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Ota A. In: Ikeda Y.
Out: Ota A.
52'
Sub
Fernandes P. In: Joya
Out: Fernandes P.
59' Event
Hayashi Y.
Assist: Tanaka A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. This leg finished 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
India U17 W
15%
Draws
57%
Japan U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • India U17 W haven't matched Japan U17 W's recent run of results.
  • India U17 W are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Japan U17 W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Japan U17 W, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.4%
India U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric India U17 W Japan U17 W
Matches Played 17 31
Wins 6 19
Draws 0 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.88 2.68
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
India U17 W vs Japan U17 W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

India U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Japan U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikeda Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hayashi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

India U17 W 34 / 100
Japan U17 W 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
India U17 W Japan U17 W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

India U17 W found the back of the net in 47% of recent matches (17 games).

Defensive concern: Japan U17 W conceded in 55% of 31 recent games.

Solid form: India U17 W remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

India U17 W VS Japan U17 W
2.13 Goals Scored 4.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

India U17 W

(Home)
11 May
China U17 W
3 : 0
India U17 W
08 May
India U17 W
4 : 0
Lebanon U17 W
05 May
India U17 W
0 : 3
Japan U17 W
02 May
Australia U17 W
2 : 0
India U17 W
07 Feb
Bangladesh U19 W
0 : 4
India U17 W
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Japan U17 W

(Away)
06 Jul
Japan U17 W
2 : 1
USA U17 W
03 Jul
Japan U17 W
5 : 3
USA U17 W
17 May
North Korea U17 W
5 : 1
Japan U17 W
14 May
Japan U17 W
4 : 0
Australia U17 W
11 May
Japan U17 W
1 : 0
South Korea U17 W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 China U17 W 3 3 0 0 15:0 9
2 Vietnam U17 W 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
3 Thailand U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:8 4
4 Myanmar U17 W 3 0 0 3 1:9 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Japan U17 W 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 Australia U17 W 3 1 1 1 3:6 4
3 India U17 W 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
4 Lebanon U17 W 3 0 1 2 1:18 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Korea U17 W 3 3 0 0 21:0 9
2 South Korea U17 W 3 2 0 1 9:3 6
3 Philippines U17 W 3 0 1 2 0:13 1
4 Chinese Taipei U17 W 3 0 1 2 0:14 1
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup Women U17 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams