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India U17 W vs Japan U17 W

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup Women U17 Suzhou Taihu Football Sports Centre (Pitch 4)
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

India U17 W play Japan U17 W in the AFC Asian Cup Women U17. Japan U17 W are favorites here. Recently, India U17 W averaged 1.88 goals scored and 2.24 conceded. Japan U17 W averaged 2.69 goals scored and 1.19 conceded. In past meetings, India U17 W won 0, Japan U17 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 5, 2026 ended 0:3. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for India U17 W and 2.69 for Japan U17 W. This points to a Japan U17 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
India U17 W
15%
Draws
58%
Japan U17 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Japan U17 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

84% / High Confidence
  • India U17 W picked up more points recently compared to Japan U17 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 2.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 74%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 74%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
India U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
Japan U17 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 76%
Second Half Goal 80%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric India U17 W Japan U17 W
Matches Played 17 32
Wins 6 19
Draws 0 4
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.88 2.69
Goals Conceded 2.24 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 4.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 5, 2026 AFC Asian Cup Women U17
India U17 W vs Japan U17 W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

India U17 W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Japan U17 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ikeda Y.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hayashi Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.75
Avg xA / game 2.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

India U17 W 26 / 100
Japan U17 W 54 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
India U17 W Japan U17 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Japan U17 W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Japan U17 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +42%
5.26
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.8%
1.47
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

India U17 W attacking → ← attacking Japan U17 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

India U17 W scored in 47% of their last 17 games.

Japan U17 W let in goals in 56% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

India U17 W went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Japan U17 W lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 61
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 4.13
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1China U17 W330015:09
2Vietnam U17 W31114:64
3Thailand U17 W31113:84
4Myanmar U17 W30031:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Japan U17 W330021:09
2Australia U17 W31113:64
3India U17 W31024:53
4Lebanon U17 W30121:181
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1North Korea U17 W330021:09
2South Korea U17 W32019:36
3Philippines U17 W30120:131
4Chinese Taipei U17 W30120:141