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Industrial Aviles vs Independiente

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-2, with Industrial Aviles advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Industrial Aviles
33%
Draws
40%
Independiente
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Independiente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Independiente haven't matched Industrial Aviles's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Independiente a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Industrial Aviles have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Industrial Aviles, who have won 2 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Industrial Aviles Clean Sheet 20%
Independiente Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Industrial Aviles Independiente
Matches Played 23 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 2 4
Losses 7 19
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente vs Industrial Aviles
1:1
Nov 25, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Industrial Aviles vs Independiente
3:2
Oct 10, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Independiente vs Industrial Aviles
2:1
Sep 12, 2018 Copa Simon Bolivar
Industrial Aviles vs Independiente
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Industrial Aviles 28 / 100
Independiente 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Industrial Aviles Independiente

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IND Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Industrial Aviles scored in 83% of their last 23 outings.

Independiente's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 32 matches.

Difficult form: Independiente registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

- VS Independiente
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Industrial Aviles

(Home)
27 Dec
Destroyers
2 : 0
Industrial Aviles
23 Dec
Industrial Aviles
1 : 2
Destroyers
18 Dec
Industrial Aviles
0 : 3
Always Ready
15 Dec
Always Ready
5 : 0
Industrial Aviles
08 Dec
Industrial Aviles
1 : 0
Always Ready
Page 1 of 5

Independiente

(Away)
25 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2
Oriente Petrolero
21 Jul
Independiente
1 : 2
Real Potosi
16 Jul
Academia del Balompie
3 : 1
Independiente
12 Jul
Tomayapo
2 : 1
Independiente
27 May
Racing Club
2 : 0
Independiente
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Industrial Aviles4
Independiente3
Mariscal Sucre0
Always Ready6
Final
Industrial Aviles1
Always Ready8