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Inhumas vs Itumbiara

Brazil Brazil

Goiano 2 2022 Estadio Municipal Zico Brandão
Inhumas Logo

Inhumas

3 - 1
FT
Itumbiara Logo

Itumbiara

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Inhumas play Itumbiara in the Goiano 2 2022. It looks like a close match. Recently, Inhumas averaged 0.61 goals scored and 1.58 conceded. Itumbiara averaged 1.07 goals scored and 2.43 conceded. In past meetings, Inhumas won 2, Itumbiara won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Oct 23, 2022 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 3.00 for Inhumas and 1.69 for Itumbiara. This points to a Itumbiara double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Inhumas
25%
Draws
44%
Itumbiara
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Itumbiara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Inhumas picked up more points recently compared to Itumbiara.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (3.00 vs 1.69 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 76%
Over 2.5 Goals 47%
Over 3.5 Goals 28%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Inhumas Clean Sheet 13%
Itumbiara Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 72%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inhumas Itumbiara
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 4 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 21 17
Goals Scored 0.61 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.58 2.43
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 5.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 23, 2022 Goiano 2
Inhumas vs Itumbiara
3:1
Aug 14, 2022 Goiano 2
Itumbiara vs Inhumas
1:3
Nov 28, 2020 Goiano 2
Itumbiara vs Inhumas
0:0
Oct 25, 2020 Goiano 2
Inhumas vs Itumbiara
0:1
Jun 12, 2011 Goiano 2
Inhumas vs Itumbiara
1:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inhumas 31 / 100
Itumbiara 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inhumas Itumbiara

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Itumbiara or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +34.8%
4.35
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.7%
2.44
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Inhumas attacking → ← attacking Itumbiara

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inhumas scored in 42% of their last 31 games.

Itumbiara let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Inhumas went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Itumbiara lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

18 Points in last 5 29
0.50 Goals expected (xG) 2.00
1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 5.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inhumas1483317:727
2Goiania1481514:1125
3Anapolina1466216:1024
4Aparecida EC1454516:2019
5Associacao Esportiva Evangelica (ASEEV)1452723:2117
6Jaragua1444610:1216
7Itumbiara1444617:2216
8Cerrado EC142489:1910