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Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu vs Inegol Kafkas

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu play Inegol Kafkas in the 3. Lig Group 1. It looks like a close match. Recently, Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu averaged 0.77 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Inegol Kafkas averaged 1.63 goals scored and 0.87 conceded. In past meetings, Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu won 1, Inegol Kafkas won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Mar 25, 2026 ended 3:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.94 for Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu and 1.00 for Inegol Kafkas. This points to a Inegol Kafkas double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
35%
Draws
39%
Inegol Kafkas
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Inegol Kafkas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

75% / High Confidence
  • Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu picked up more points recently compared to Inegol Kafkas.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.94 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 68%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Over 3.5 Goals 23%
Over 4.5 Goals 12%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Clean Sheet 23%
Inegol Kafkas Clean Sheet 16%
First Half Goal 61%
Second Half Goal 65%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Inegol Kafkas
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 18
Draws 14 8
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 0.77 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.2 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu vs Inegol Kafkas
3:1
Nov 29, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Inegol Kafkas vs Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaya S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Tasci M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Inegol Kafkas Compare

Top Goalscorer Dogdu U.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu 28 / 100
Inegol Kafkas 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu Inegol Kafkas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Inegol Kafkas or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +44.6%
5.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +18.2%
3.03
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu attacking → ← attacking Inegol Kafkas

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Inegol Kafkas let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Inegol Kafkas lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 62
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.13
0.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.88

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Inegol Kafkas30188449:2662
2Corluspor30187557:2361
3Kucukcekmece30175854:3056
4Etimesgut301410636:2352
5Bursa Yildirimspor301310738:3149
6Silivrispor301271142:3643
7Beykoz Ishakli Spor30913834:3540
8Bursa Nilufer301081233:4238
9Yesil Yalova FK309101138:3637
10Galata Spor Kulubu301071334:3437
11Bulvarspor30981335:4735
12Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu30714923:3635
13Cankaya FK308101238:3734
14Kestel Cilekspor30861627:3930
151926 Polatli Belediye30771624:4428
16Edirnespor Genclik30362122:6515