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Inter Lagos vs Gateway United

Nigeria Nigeria

NNL
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gateway United in this NNL matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Gateway United.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Inter Lagos
15%
Draws
26%
Gateway United
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter Lagos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Gateway United haven't matched Inter Lagos's recent run of results.
  • Inter Lagos are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Inter Lagos Clean Sheet 20%
Gateway United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Lagos Gateway United
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 8
Draws 7 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.58 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.68 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 NNL
Inter Lagos vs Gateway United
1:2
Nov 15, 2025 NNL
Gateway United vs Inter Lagos
0:1
Apr 3, 2024 NNL
Gateway United vs Inter Lagos
2:1
Jan 6, 2024 NNL
Inter Lagos vs Gateway United
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Lagos 76 / 100
Gateway United 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Lagos Gateway United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Lagos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gateway United let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Inter Lagos scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Inter Lagos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Lagos VS Gateway United
1.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Lagos

(Home)
08 May
Inter Lagos
1 : 0
Sporting Lagos
06 May
Ranchers Bees
0 : 2
Inter Lagos
04 May
Doma United
1 : 0
Inter Lagos
11 Apr
Inter Lagos
1 : 2
Gateway United
06 Apr
Inter Lagos
1 : 1
Smart City
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Gateway United

(Away)
11 Apr
Inter Lagos
1 : 2
Gateway United
04 Apr
Gateway United
1 : 2
Sunshine Stars
28 Mar
Heartland FC
3 : 0
Gateway United
14 Mar
Abia Comets
2 : 1
Gateway United
07 Mar
Gateway United
1 : 2
Beyond Limits FC
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Inter Lagos 16 8 5 3 26:13 29
2 Beyond Limits FC 16 7 7 2 23:13 28
3 Heartland FC 16 8 3 5 21:17 27
4 Smart City 16 8 3 5 21:19 27
5 Sunshine Stars 16 7 4 5 18:14 25
6 Edel FC 16 6 2 8 14:20 20
7 Crown FC 16 4 4 8 18:19 16
8 Abia Comets 16 4 3 9 16:31 15
9 Gateway United 16 3 3 10 13:24 12
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sporting Lagos 18 11 3 4 31:14 36
2 Akwa United 18 11 2 5 23:13 35
3 Ekiti United 18 10 0 8 21:17 30
4 Stormers 18 8 2 8 24:26 26
5 Abakaliki 18 7 4 7 19:17 25
6 Solution 18 8 1 9 18:22 25
7 Godswill Akpabio 18 6 6 6 27:24 24
8 Rovers FC 18 7 1 10 15:21 22
9 Osun United 18 6 2 10 16:24 20
10 First Bank 18 4 3 11 15:31 15
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Doma United 14 8 2 4 18:11 26
2 Lobi 14 7 2 5 12:10 23
3 Basira 14 6 3 5 17:14 21
4 Kada Warriors 14 5 5 4 11:9 20
5 Sokoto United 14 5 3 6 9:11 18
6 ABS 14 5 2 7 10:16 17
7 Mighty Jets 14 5 1 8 14:16 16
8 City FC Abuja 14 4 4 6 10:14 16
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ranchers Bees 12 6 2 4 11:9 20
2 Adamawa Utd 12 6 0 6 12:11 18
3 Jigawa Golden Stars 12 5 3 4 12:15 18
4 Yobe Stars 12 5 2 5 14:13 17
5 Kebbi 12 5 1 6 11:11 16
6 Bichi First 12 4 3 5 11:9 15
7 Gombe 12 4 3 5 8:11 15
8 Sporting Supreme 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - NPFL (Main)
Promotion - NNL (Championship Group)