Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter Nouakchott vs Chemal

Mauritania Mauritania

Ligue 1
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Ramdhane A.
7' Event
Ndiaye M.
15' Event
Diop A. A. A.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 game between Inter Nouakchott and Chemal finished 3-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Chemal.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Inter Nouakchott
15%
Draws
65%
Chemal
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chemal

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Chemal come out ahead of Inter Nouakchott on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Chemal's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Inter Nouakchott Clean Sheet 15%
Chemal Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Nouakchott Chemal
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 19 10
Goals Scored 1.13 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Chemal
3:5
Jan 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Inter Nouakchott
3:1
Mar 4, 2025 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Chemal
1:1
Oct 25, 2024 Ligue 1
Chemal vs Inter Nouakchott
3:0
Mar 11, 2024 Ligue 1
Inter Nouakchott vs Chemal
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Nouakchott Compare

Top Goalscorer Diop A. A. A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Ramdhane A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Chemal Compare

Top Goalscorer El Kheir Faraji M.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lo M.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Nouakchott 10 / 100
Chemal 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Nouakchott Chemal

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Defensive concern: Chemal conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Inter Nouakchott's goal record stands at 53% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Recent resilience: Inter Nouakchott stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Nouakchott VS Chemal
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Nouakchott

(Home)
23 May
Nouadhibou
1 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
11 May
Nouakchott Academy
2 : 0
Inter Nouakchott
06 May
Inter Nouakchott
2 : 1
SNIM
09 Apr
Pompiers
3 : 1
Inter Nouakchott
Page 1 of 6

Chemal

(Away)
25 May
Chemal
1 : 0
Pompiers
16 May
Inter Nouakchott
3 : 5
Chemal
12 May
Chemal
3 : 4
Nouakchott King's
03 May
Police
0 : 1
Chemal
11 Apr
Chemal
1 : 1
Douane
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nouadhibou 26 17 7 2 49:15 58
2 Nzeidane 26 13 7 6 42:35 46
3 Douane 26 12 9 5 40:29 45
4 Pompiers 26 11 11 4 29:22 44
5 Nouakchott Academy 26 10 9 7 32:22 39
6 Gendrim 26 9 10 7 26:29 37
7 Chemal 26 10 6 10 34:35 36
8 Nouakchott King's 26 8 10 8 37:34 34
9 SNIM 26 7 12 7 29:28 33
10 Tevragh-Zeina 26 7 11 8 34:33 32
11 Police 26 5 11 10 28:31 26
12 Kaedi 26 5 8 13 21:37 23
13 Ksar 26 4 5 17 23:48 17
14 Inter Nouakchott 26 3 6 17 24:50 15
Promotion - CAF Champions League 2026/2027 (Qualification)