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Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Chapulineros - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Our Tip

Match Events

38' Event
Martin del Campo A.
63'
Basulto M.
81' Event
Mederos D.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Inter Playa Del Carmen and Chapulineros finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Inter Playa Del Carmen
15%
Draws
65%
Chapulineros
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Chapulineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter Playa Del Carmen come out ahead of Chapulineros on wins alone.
  • Model gives Chapulineros a 65% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 11%
Chapulineros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Playa Del Carmen Chapulineros
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 10
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.2 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera Premier
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Chapulineros
1:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Chapulineros
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Chapulineros vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Playa Del Carmen Compare

Top Goalscorer Martin del Campo A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Chapulineros Compare

Top Goalscorer Mederos D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Playa Del Carmen 14 / 100
Chapulineros 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Playa Del Carmen Chapulineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapulineros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chapulineros has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Inter Playa Del Carmen found the back of the net in 63% of recent matches (30 games).

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Inter Playa Del Carmen stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Playa Del Carmen VS Chapulineros
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Playa Del Carmen

(Home)
07 Nov
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 2
Lobos ULMX
31 Oct
Reboceros de La Piedad
1 : 2
Inter Playa Del Carmen
24 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 4
Irapuato
17 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 1
Racing de Veracruz
11 Oct
Jaguares De Chiapas
1 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
Page 1 of 6

Chapulineros

(Away)
01 Nov
Lobos ULMX
1 : 1
Chapulineros
24 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
17 Oct
Chapulineros
2 : 1
Montaneses
03 Oct
Tapachula
2 : 3
Chapulineros
26 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 3
Pioneros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
7 Cordobes FC 9 3 1 5 8:13 9
8 Purepechas 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Tritones Vallarta 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 9 3 3 3 12:16 12
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)