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Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Chapulineros

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier Mario Villanueva Stadium Madrid, Playa del Carmen
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AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Inter Playa Del Carmen and Chapulineros finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Inter Playa Del Carmen
35%
Draws
39%
Chapulineros
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Chapulineros

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Inter Playa Del Carmen come out ahead of Chapulineros on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Inter Playa Del Carmen Clean Sheet 20%
Chapulineros Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Playa Del Carmen Chapulineros
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 14 5
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.29 0.86
Goals Conceded 1.23 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Primera Premier
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Chapulineros
0:0
Mar 14, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Inter Playa Del Carmen vs Chapulineros
2:1
Oct 25, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Chapulineros vs Inter Playa Del Carmen
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Playa Del Carmen 36 / 100
Chapulineros 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Playa Del Carmen Chapulineros

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Chapulineros Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Inter Playa Del Carmen scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Chapulineros conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Inter Playa Del Carmen stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Inter Playa Del Carmen VS Chapulineros
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Playa Del Carmen

(Home)
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Tapachula
2 : 0
Inter Playa Del Carmen
08 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 4
Pioneros
26 Apr
Apodaca
3 : 1
Inter Playa Del Carmen
23 Apr
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Apodaca
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Chapulineros

(Away)
19 Sept
Inter Playa Del Carmen
0 : 0
Chapulineros
12 Sept
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Celaya
05 Sept
Racing de Veracruz
5 : 1
Chapulineros
29 Aug
Chapulineros
0 : 1
Jaguares De Chiapas
11 Apr
Chapulineros
1 : 1
Pioneros
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 4 4 0 0 10:4 13
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Tigres de Alica 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
4 Zacatepec 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
5 Los Cabos United 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
6 Lobos ULMX 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
7 Tritones Vallarta 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
8 Cordobes FC 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
9 Purepechas 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 4 3 1 0 15:5 12
2 Celaya 4 3 1 0 8:2 11
3 Pioneros 3 2 0 1 9:4 7
4 Deportiva Venados 3 1 2 0 6:4 5
5 Jaguares De Chiapas 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
6 Montaneses 4 1 1 2 5:8 3
7 Tapachula 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
8 Chapulineros 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
9 Inter Playa Del Carmen 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)