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Inter Turku vs VPS

Finland Finland

Veikkausliiga Veritas Stadion, Turku
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Ivanov R.
39'
Kouassivi-Benissan K.
40'
Turfkruier J.

AI Match Summary

Inter Turku in this Veikkausliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter Turku.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Inter Turku
15%
Draws
34%
VPS
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Inter Turku

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • VPS haven't matched Inter Turku's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Inter Turku have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Inter Turku Clean Sheet 68%
VPS Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Turku VPS
Matches Played 36 29
Wins 19 15
Draws 12 5
Losses 5 9
Goals Scored 1.39 2.21
Goals Conceded 0.92 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 14, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku vs VPS
1:0
Aug 2, 2026 Veikkausliiga
VPS vs Inter Turku
0:1
Jun 30, 2026 Suomen Cup
VPS vs Inter Turku
2:3
Apr 4, 2026 Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku vs VPS
0:0
Aug 31, 2025 Veikkausliiga
Inter Turku vs VPS
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Turku Compare

Top Goalscorer Sjogrell H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

VPS Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter Turku 41 / 100
VPS 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Turku VPS

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Inter Turku Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter Turku found the back of the net in 81% of recent matches (36 games).

VPS let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Inter Turku has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Inter Turku VS VPS
1.25 Goals Scored 0.75
0.63 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 25%
38% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter Turku

(Home)
14 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
VPS
09 Sept
HJK
2 : 1
Inter Turku
05 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
HJK
31 Aug
Inter Turku
1 : 0
KuPS
27 Aug
FC Copenhagen
4 : 1
Inter Turku
Page 1 of 8

VPS

(Away)
14 Sept
Inter Turku
1 : 0
VPS
08 Sept
VPS
1 : 0
AC Oulu
31 Aug
VPS
0 : 1
Lahti
22 Aug
Ilves
0 : 1
VPS
14 Aug
VPS
1 : 3
TPS
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 KuPS 24 12 9 3 39:24 45
2 Inter Turku 24 12 9 3 31:18 45
3 HJK 24 12 5 7 38:28 41
4 Gnistan 24 11 7 6 39:31 40
5 VPS 24 10 6 8 30:23 36
6 AC Oulu 24 10 4 10 26:28 34
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)