Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Inter U19 vs Benfica U19

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2025/2026 Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Cabral A.
25'
Cerpelletti F.
26' Event
Coletta F.
Assist: Banjaqui D.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 2-3, with Benfica U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Inter U19
15%
Draws
45%
Benfica U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Benfica U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter U19 have managed 2.38 goals a game lately — Benfica U19 are scoring more at 2.62.
  • 45% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Benfica U19, who have won 1 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 83.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 71%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Inter U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Benfica U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter U19 Benfica U19
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 18 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 2.38 2.62
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.98 2.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 18, 2026 UEFA Youth League
Inter U19 vs Benfica U19
2:3
Nov 29, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Benfica U19 vs Inter U19
1:1
Oct 3, 2023 UEFA Youth League
Inter U19 vs Benfica U19
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Zouin A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader El Mahboubi A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.52
Avg xA / game 0.99

Benfica U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Coletta F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Freitas T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.39
Avg xA / game 1.46

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter U19 34 / 100
Benfica U19 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter U19 Benfica U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Benfica U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter U19 scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Inter U19 went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Benfica U19 conceded in 55% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Inter U19 VS Benfica U19
2.33 Goals Scored 3.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.63
67% Over 1.5 100%
67% Over 2.5 88%
67% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter U19

(Home)
18 Mar
Inter U19
2 : 3
Benfica U19
24 Feb
Inter U19
5 : 3
Betis U19
04 Feb
Koln U19
1 : 3
Inter U19
09 Dec
Inter U19
5 : 0
Liverpool U19
26 Nov
Atl. Madrid U19
4 : 1
Inter U19
Page 1 of 6

Benfica U19

(Away)
29 Aug
Benfica U19
5 : 0
Leiria U19
23 Aug
Benfica U19
3 : 2
Torreense U19
15 Aug
Oriental U19
0 : 0
Benfica U19
16 May
Famalicao U19
2 : 1
Benfica U19
10 May
Benfica U19
5 : 2
Leiria U19
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Koln U19 1
Inter U19 3
Betis U19 5
Tottenham U19 1
Benfica U19 3
Slavia Prague U19 2
AZ Alkmaar U19 4
Dortmund U19 0
Dynamo Kyiv U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 6
Maccabi Haifa U19 3
Barcelona U19 2
Zilina U19 2
Liverpool U19 1
Club Brugge U19 3
Monaco U19 2
Real Madrid U19 5
Marseille U19 2
Chelsea U19 2
PSV U19 1
Ath Bilbao U19 2
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 3
Puskas Akademia U19 1
Sporting CP U19 2
Villarreal U19 3
Leverkusen U19 2
Legia U19 2
Ajax U19 1
Din. Minsk U19 0
PSG U19 4
HJK U19 4
Manchester City U19 3
1/8-finals
Inter U19 5
Betis U19 3
Benfica U19 6
AZ Alkmaar U19 2
Atl. Madrid U19 2
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Zilina U19 0
Club Brugge U19 1
Real Madrid U19 1
Chelsea U19 0
Eintracht Frankfurt U19 0
Sporting CP U19 1
Villarreal U19 2
Legia U19 1
PSG U19 6
HJK U19 1
Quarter-finals
Inter U19 2
Benfica U19 3
Atl. Madrid U19 0
Club Brugge U19 4
Real Madrid U19 2
Sporting CP U19 1
Villarreal U19 0
PSG U19 1
Semi-finals
Benfica U19 1
Club Brugge U19 3
Real Madrid U19 2
PSG U19 1
Final
Club Brugge U19 1
Real Madrid U19 2