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Inter vs Cagliari

Italy Italy

Serie A 2025/2026 Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (San Siro), Milan
Our Tip

Match Events

23'
Esposito Se.
25'
Borrelli G.
52' Event
Thuram M.
Assist: Dimarco F.

AI Match Summary

Inter in this Serie A 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Inter.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Inter
6%
Draws
4%
Cagliari
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Inter

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Inter have won more games recently than Cagliari.
  • Win probability leans Inter's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Serie A 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Inter have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Inter Clean Sheet 68%
Cagliari Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Inter Cagliari
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 18 9
Draws 7 6
Losses 4 13
Goals Scored 3 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 3.00 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2026 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
3:0
Sep 27, 2025 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:2
Apr 12, 2025 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
3:1
Dec 28, 2024 Serie A
Cagliari vs Inter
0:3
Apr 14, 2024 Serie A
Inter vs Cagliari
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Inter Compare

Top Goalscorer Thuram M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barella N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.31
Avg xA / game 1.5

Cagliari Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Inter 95 / 100
Cagliari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Inter Cagliari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Inter's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Inter stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Cagliari let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Inter VS Cagliari
3 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Inter

(Home)
23 May
Bologna
3 : 3
Inter
17 May
Inter
1 : 1
Verona
13 May
Lazio
0 : 2
Inter
09 May
Lazio
0 : 3
Inter
03 May
Inter
2 : 0
Parma
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Cagliari

(Away)
24 May
AC Milan
1 : 2
Cagliari
17 May
Cagliari
2 : 1
Torino
09 May
Cagliari
0 : 2
Udinese
03 May
Bologna
0 : 0
Cagliari
27 Apr
Cagliari
3 : 2
Atalanta
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inter38276589:3587
2Napoli38237858:3676
3AS Roma382341159:3173
4Como382011765:2971
5AC Milan382010853:3570
6Juventus381912761:3469
7Atalanta381514951:3659
8Bologna381681449:4656
9Lazio3814121241:4054
10Udinese381481645:4850
11Sassuolo381471746:5049
12Torino381291744:6345
13Parma3811121528:4645
14Cagliari3811101740:5343
15Fiorentina389151441:5042
16Genoa3810111741:5141
17Lecce381082028:5038
18Cremonese388102032:5734
19Verona383122325:6121
20Pisa382122426:7118
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B (Main)