Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Internacional vs Vasco

Brazil Brazil

Serie A Betano Estádio José Pinheiro Borda, Porto Alegre
Our Tip

Match Events

10'
Mercado G.
21' Event
Carbonero J.
Assist: Bernabei A.
22'
Carbonero J.

AI Match Summary

The Serie A Betano game between Internacional and Vasco finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Internacional.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Internacional
28%
Draws
22%
Vasco
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Internacional

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Vasco haven't matched Internacional's recent run of results.
  • Internacional are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Internacional Clean Sheet 68%
Vasco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Internacional Vasco
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 14 11
Draws 7 7
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Vasco
4:1
Nov 28, 2025 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Internacional
5:1
Jul 27, 2025 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Vasco
1:1
Nov 21, 2024 Serie A Betano
Vasco vs Internacional
0:1
Jul 7, 2024 Serie A Betano
Internacional vs Vasco
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Internacional Compare

Top Goalscorer Carbonero J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Alerrandro
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Vasco Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Internacional 59 / 100
Vasco 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Internacional Vasco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick INT Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

Internacional's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Vasco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

Internacional has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Internacional VS Vasco
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Internacional

(Home)
31 May
Bragantino
3 : 1
Internacional
23 May
Vitoria
2 : 0
Internacional
16 May
Internacional
4 : 1
Vasco
12 May
Internacional
3 : 2
Athletic Club
09 May
Coritiba
2 : 2
Internacional
Page 1 of 6

Vasco

(Away)
31 May
Vasco
0 : 1
Atletico-MG
27 May
Vasco
3 : 0
Barracas Central
24 May
Vasco
0 : 3
Bragantino
20 May
Olimpia Asuncion
3 : 1
Vasco
16 May
Internacional
4 : 1
Vasco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Palmeiras18125130:1341
2Flamengo RJ17104331:1634
3Fluminense1894528:2331
4Athletico-PR1893624:1830
5Bragantino1892725:1929
6Bahia1775525:2326
7Coritiba1875624:2426
8Sao Paulo1874723:2025
9Botafogo RJ1874733:3225
10Vitoria1874722:2525
11Atletico-MG1873822:2324
12Corinthians1866618:1924
13Cruzeiro1866624:2824
14Internacional1856721:2221
15Gremio1856720:2321
16Santos1956827:3121
17Vasco1955922:3020
18Remo1846821:2918
19Mirassol1744918:2416
20Chapecoense-SC17161017:339
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)