Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ipswich vs Sunderland

England England

Premier League Portman Road, Ipswich
Our Tip

Match Events

24' Event
Emersonn
Assist: Enciso J.
36'
Ballard D.
39' Event
Angulo N.

AI Match Summary

Ipswich in this Premier League matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Ipswich.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Ipswich
15%
Draws
65%
Sunderland
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Sunderland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / High Confidence
  • Ipswich have won more games recently than Sunderland.
  • Sunderland are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Ipswich Clean Sheet 16%
Sunderland Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ipswich Sunderland
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 13
Draws 6 4
Losses 9 12
Goals Scored 1.73 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.4 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Premier League
Ipswich vs Sunderland
2:1
Jan 13, 2024 Championship
Ipswich vs Sunderland
2:1
Aug 6, 2023 Championship
Sunderland vs Ipswich
1:2
Dec 18, 2021 League One
Ipswich vs Sunderland
1:1
Nov 20, 2021 League One
Sunderland vs Ipswich
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ipswich Compare

Top Goalscorer Emersonn
1 Goals
Assists Leader Clarke J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Sunderland Compare

Top Goalscorer Angulo N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ipswich 23 / 100
Sunderland 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ipswich Sunderland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sunderland Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ipswich scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Sunderland has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Ipswich has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ipswich VS Sunderland
2.25 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Ipswich

(Home)
19 Sept
Everton
1 : 0
Ipswich
15 Sept
Ipswich
2 : 4
Arsenal
12 Sept
Crystal Palace
2 : 3
Ipswich
04 Sept
Ipswich
0 : 2
Liverpool
30 Aug
Manchester United
5 : 2
Ipswich
Page 1 of 6

Sunderland

(Away)
16 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
AZ Alkmaar
12 Sept
Sunderland
0 : 2
Arsenal
08 Sept
Sunderland
1 : 0
Hull City
05 Sept
Brentford
1 : 1
Sunderland
30 Aug
Sunderland
1 : 0
Fulham
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manchester City 4 4 0 0 8:2 12
2 Arsenal 5 4 0 1 8:4 12
3 Brighton 5 3 1 1 16:5 10
4 Brentford 5 2 3 0 10:4 9
5 Everton 5 2 3 0 6:3 9
6 Leeds 4 2 2 0 7:3 8
7 Hull City 5 2 2 1 6:4 8
8 Newcastle Utd 5 2 2 1 9:9 8
9 Chelsea 5 2 1 2 10:12 7
10 Liverpool 4 1 3 0 6:4 6
11 Ipswich 5 2 0 3 7:11 6
12 Nottingham 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
13 Manchester United 4 1 1 2 7:7 4
14 Sunderland 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
15 Aston Villa 5 1 1 3 4:9 4
16 Bournemouth 4 0 3 1 6:7 3
17 Crystal Palace 4 1 0 3 6:11 3
18 Coventry 5 1 0 4 1:10 3
19 Tottenham 5 0 2 3 2:8 2
20 Fulham 4 0 1 3 4:7 1
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (League phase)
Relegation - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)