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Iran U17 vs Sri Lanka U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
09:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFC Asian Cup U17. Iran U17 are expected to control this from the start. Iran U17 have averaged 2.34 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Sri Lanka U17's 0.85 scored and 4.23 conceded. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. The numbers (3.13 xG vs 1.50) point toward Iran U17. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Iran U17
15%
Draws
0%
Sri Lanka U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Iran U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Iran U17 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Iran U17 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • Iran U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Iran U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Sri Lanka U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iran U17 Sri Lanka U17
Matches Played 32 13
Wins 16 2
Draws 3 0
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 2.34 0.85
Goals Conceded 1.38 4.23
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iran U17 84 / 100
Sri Lanka U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iran U17 Sri Lanka U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iran U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iran U17's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Sri Lanka U17's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 13 matches.

Away concern: Sri Lanka U17 has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Recent resilience: Iran U17 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Iran U17 VS Sri Lanka U17
2.5 Goals Scored 0.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 3.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
88% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Iran U17

(Home)
11 Nov
Pakistan U17
0 : 1
Iran U17
30 Nov
Iran U17
1 : 2
India U17
28 Nov
Palestine U17
1 : 3
Iran U17
26 Nov
Iran U17
1 : 1
Lebanon U17
24 Nov
Chinese Taipei U17
0 : 5
Iran U17
Page 1 of 7

Sri Lanka U17

(Away)
11 Nov
Sri Lanka U17
0 : 10
Jordan U17
08 Nov
Sri Lanka U17
1 : 3
Pakistan U17
30 Nov
Timor-Leste U17
2 : 1
Sri Lanka U17
28 Nov
Sri Lanka U17
0 : 8
China U17
26 Nov
Sri Lanka U17
0 : 5
Bangladesh U17
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afghanistan U17 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Indonesia U17 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Philippines U17 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Myanmar U17 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
5 Cambodia U17 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hong Kong U17 2 1 1 0 10:1 4
2 Thailand U17 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Chinese Taipei U17 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
4 Iraq U17 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Maldives U17 2 0 0 2 0:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U17 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 United Arab Emirates U17 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Macau U17 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Bangladesh U17 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
5 Bhutan U17 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U17 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Iran U17 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Pakistan U17 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
4 Laos U17 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Sri Lanka U17 2 0 0 2 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine U17 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 India U17 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Singapore U17 2 1 0 1 8:4 3
4 Malaysia U17 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Guam U17 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kyrgyzstan U17 1 1 0 0 12:0 3
2 Yemen U17 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Mongolia U17 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U17 2 0 0 2 0:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lebanon U17 2 2 0 0 9:1 6
2 Bahrain U17 2 1 1 0 7:2 4
3 Kuwait U17 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Oman U17 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Brunei U17 2 0 0 2 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)