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Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Morales A.
38' Event
Araujo L.
75' Event
Reyes M.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Premier game between Irapuato and Lobos ULMX finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Irapuato.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Irapuato
15%
Draws
34%
Lobos ULMX
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Irapuato carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Irapuato are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 20%
Lobos ULMX Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irapuato Lobos ULMX
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 11
Goals Scored 1.76 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Primera Premier
Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX
3:0
Feb 2, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Lobos ULMX vs Irapuato
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX
0:0
Jan 21, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Lobos ULMX vs Irapuato
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Irapuato Compare

Top Goalscorer Morales A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Araujo L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Lobos ULMX Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irapuato 58 / 100
Lobos ULMX 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irapuato Lobos ULMX

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irapuato has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Irapuato found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Lobos ULMX let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Irapuato VS Lobos ULMX
2.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Irapuato

(Home)
07 Nov
Racing de Veracruz
0 : 1
Irapuato
01 Nov
Irapuato
2 : 1
Deportiva Venados
24 Oct
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 4
Irapuato
18 Oct
Irapuato
2 : 0
Zacatepec
11 Oct
Irapuato
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

Lobos ULMX

(Away)
07 Nov
Inter Playa Del Carmen
1 : 2
Lobos ULMX
01 Nov
Lobos ULMX
1 : 1
Chapulineros
25 Oct
Montaneses
0 : 3
Lobos ULMX
18 Oct
Lobos ULMX
2 : 0
Cordobes FC
11 Oct
Purepechas
2 : 0
Lobos ULMX
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 10 10 0 0 23:6 31
2 Tigres de Alica 11 5 3 3 19:12 18
3 Lobos ULMX 10 4 2 4 13:13 15
4 Reboceros de La Piedad 10 5 0 5 15:16 15
5 Zacatepec 10 4 2 4 13:16 15
6 Cordobes FC 10 3 2 5 9:14 10
7 Los Cabos United 10 3 1 6 9:15 10
8 Purepechas 9 2 2 5 6:10 8
9 Tritones Vallarta 9 1 3 5 8:12 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 10 6 3 1 24:9 23
2 Pioneros 10 6 2 2 21:10 21
3 Celaya 10 6 2 2 18:10 20
4 Jaguares De Chiapas 10 4 3 3 11:10 16
5 Deportiva Venados 10 3 3 4 19:18 13
6 Chapulineros 10 3 4 3 13:17 13
7 Montaneses 11 4 1 6 15:21 12
8 Inter Playa Del Carmen 10 2 1 7 10:20 7
9 Tapachula 10 2 0 8 11:28 6
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)