Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX

Mexico Mexico

Primera Premier Estadio Sergio León Chavez, Irapuato
Sun, Sep 27, 2026
VS
12:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Irapuato host Lobos ULMX in the Primera Premier. Neither defense has been convincing lately, which should mean goals. Recent numbers: Irapuato at 1.62 goals for, 1.55 against; Lobos ULMX at 1.24 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Irapuato have won 0 to Lobos ULMX's 0, with 4 draws. They last met on Feb 2, 2025, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.88 xG vs 1.38) point toward Irapuato. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Irapuato
20%
Draws
19%
Lobos ULMX
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Irapuato

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Irapuato's 1.62 goals per match outpaces what Lobos ULMX have produced (1.24).
  • Irapuato are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Premier form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Irapuato Clean Sheet 17%
Lobos ULMX Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irapuato Lobos ULMX
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 11
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 1.62 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 2, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
Lobos ULMX vs Irapuato
1:1
Sep 28, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX
0:0
Jan 21, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Lobos ULMX vs Irapuato
0:0
Aug 19, 2023 Liga Premier Serie A
Irapuato vs Lobos ULMX
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irapuato 84 / 100
Lobos ULMX 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irapuato Lobos ULMX

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Irapuato Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Irapuato has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Irapuato found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Lobos ULMX let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Difficult form: Lobos ULMX registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Irapuato VS Lobos ULMX
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Irapuato

(Home)
22 Sept
Reboceros de La Piedad
2 : 3
Irapuato
13 Sept
Irapuato
2 : 1
Tigres de Alica
05 Sept
Cordobes FC
0 : 3
Irapuato
30 Aug
Irapuato
2 : 1
Los Cabos United
19 Apr
Irapuato
0 : 0
Zacatecas Mineros
Page 1 of 6

Lobos ULMX

(Away)
19 Sept
Tigres de Alica
1 : 1
Lobos ULMX
13 Sept
Lobos ULMX
1 : 2
Los Cabos United
05 Sept
Zacatepec
2 : 1
Lobos ULMX
12 Apr
Calor De San Pedro
4 : 1
Lobos ULMX
29 Mar
Lobos ULMX
1 : 0
Zitacuaro
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Irapuato 4 4 0 0 10:4 13
2 Reboceros de La Piedad 4 3 0 1 8:4 9
3 Tigres de Alica 4 2 1 1 7:5 7
4 Zacatepec 4 2 1 1 5:5 7
5 Los Cabos United 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
6 Lobos ULMX 3 0 1 2 3:5 1
7 Tritones Vallarta 3 0 1 2 1:3 1
8 Cordobes FC 3 0 1 2 2:6 1
9 Purepechas 3 0 1 2 1:5 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Racing de Veracruz 4 3 1 0 15:5 12
2 Celaya 4 3 1 0 8:2 11
3 Pioneros 3 2 0 1 9:4 7
4 Deportiva Venados 3 1 2 0 6:4 5
5 Jaguares De Chiapas 3 1 0 2 3:4 4
6 Montaneses 4 1 1 2 5:8 3
7 Tapachula 4 1 0 3 3:11 3
8 Chapulineros 4 0 2 2 3:8 2
9 Inter Playa Del Carmen 3 0 1 2 1:7 1
Promotion - Primera Premier (Play Offs)