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Iraq U17 vs Maldives U17 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Asia Asia

AFC Asian Cup U17
Tue, Nov 17, 2026
VS
08:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the AFC Asian Cup U17. Iraq U17 go into this one as the clear favorite. Maldives U17 have shipped 5.28 goals a game lately, while Iraq U17 have conceded 1.65 and scored 1.5. These two haven't met recently, so form does most of the talking. Model xG sits at 4.00 vs 0.63, favoring Iraq U17. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Iraq U17
30%
Draws
0%
Maldives U17
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Iraq U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Iraq U17 lately — more wins on the board than Maldives U17.
  • Iraq U17 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Iraq U17 have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • These two have never met before — a fresh matchup with no historical pattern to lean on.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Iraq U17 Clean Sheet 20%
Maldives U17 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U17 Maldives U17
Matches Played 20 18
Wins 6 0
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 16
Goals Scored 1.5 0.22
Goals Conceded 1.65 5.28
Expected Goals (xG) 4.00 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U17 85 / 100
Maldives U17 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U17 Maldives U17

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Iraq U17 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Maldives U17 let in goals in 100% of their last 18 matches.

Iraq U17 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Maldives U17's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Iraq U17 scored in 70% of their last 20 games.

Scoring Trends

Iraq U17 VS Maldives U17
2.38 Goals Scored 0.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 5.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Iraq U17

(Home)
08 Nov
Hong Kong U17
1 : 1
Iraq U17
30 Nov
Australia U17
3 : 3
Iraq U17
28 Nov
Iraq U17
1 : 0
Bhutan U17
26 Nov
Iraq U17
2 : 2
Jordan U17
22 Nov
Philippines U17
2 : 3
Iraq U17
Page 1 of 4

Maldives U17

(Away)
11 Nov
Maldives U17
0 : 9
Hong Kong U17
08 Nov
Maldives U17
0 : 5
Chinese Taipei U17
28 Nov
Kuwait U17
5 : 0
Maldives U17
26 Nov
Thailand U17
7 : 1
Maldives U17
24 Nov
Maldives U17
0 : 6
Turkmenistan U17
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afghanistan U17 2 2 0 0 7:1 6
2 Indonesia U17 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Philippines U17 2 1 0 1 2:4 3
4 Myanmar U17 1 0 0 1 1:4 0
5 Cambodia U17 2 0 0 2 1:5 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hong Kong U17 2 1 1 0 10:1 4
2 Thailand U17 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Chinese Taipei U17 2 1 0 1 6:4 3
4 Iraq U17 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
5 Maldives U17 2 0 0 2 0:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Syria U17 2 2 0 0 6:1 6
2 United Arab Emirates U17 1 1 0 0 3:0 3
3 Macau U17 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Bangladesh U17 1 0 0 1 1:5 0
5 Bhutan U17 2 0 0 2 0:4 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jordan U17 2 2 0 0 12:0 6
2 Iran U17 1 1 0 0 1:0 3
3 Pakistan U17 2 1 0 1 3:2 3
4 Laos U17 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Sri Lanka U17 2 0 0 2 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Palestine U17 2 2 0 0 7:0 6
2 India U17 1 1 0 0 4:2 3
3 Singapore U17 2 1 0 1 8:4 3
4 Malaysia U17 1 0 0 1 0:2 0
5 Guam U17 2 0 0 2 0:11 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Kyrgyzstan U17 1 1 0 0 12:0 3
2 Yemen U17 1 1 0 0 4:1 3
3 Mongolia U17 2 1 0 1 3:4 3
4 Northern Mariana Islands U17 2 0 0 2 0:14 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Lebanon U17 2 2 0 0 9:1 6
2 Bahrain U17 2 1 1 0 7:2 4
3 Kuwait U17 1 0 1 0 1:1 1
4 Oman U17 1 0 0 1 1:2 0
5 Brunei U17 2 0 0 2 1:13 0
Promotion - AFC Asian Cup U17 (Main)