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Iraq U19 vs South Korea U19

Asia Asia

AFC Championship U19
Wed, Mar 3, 2021
VS
11:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iraq U19 play South Korea U19 in the AFC Championship U19. It looks like a close match. Recently, Iraq U19 averaged 1.81 goals scored and 1.08 conceded. South Korea U19 averaged 3.04 goals scored and 0.85 conceded. In past meetings, Iraq U19 won 0, South Korea U19 won 1, and they drew 2. Their last match on Mar 3, 2021 ended 0:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Iraq U19 and 1.00 for South Korea U19. This points to a South Korea U19 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Iraq U19
35%
Draws
40%
South Korea U19
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: South Korea U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Iraq U19 picked up more points recently compared to South Korea U19.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 59%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 50%
Iraq U19 Clean Sheet 23%
South Korea U19 Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iraq U19 South Korea U19
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 10 21
Draws 10 2
Losses 6 4
Goals Scored 1.81 3.04
Goals Conceded 1.08 0.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.63 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 3, 2021 AFC Championship U19
Iraq U19 vs South Korea U19
0:0
Nov 17, 2012 AFC Championship U19
South Korea U19 vs Iraq U19
2:1
Nov 3, 2012 AFC Championship U19
South Korea U19 vs Iraq U19
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iraq U19 27 / 100
South Korea U19 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iraq U19 South Korea U19

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: South Korea U19 or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +47%
5.88
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.5%
1.89
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Iraq U19 attacking → ← attacking South Korea U19

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iraq U19 scored in 77% of their last 26 games.

South Korea U19 let in goals in 59% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Iraq U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

South Korea U19 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

40 Points in last 5 65
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.38
0.63 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.63