Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ireland U21 vs Iceland U21

World World

Friendly International 2023
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Ingason K. M.
Assist: Sigurgeirsson I.
24' Event
Cannon T.
Assist: Moran A.
83' Event
Kenny J.
Assist: Curtis S.

AI Match Summary

The Friendly International 2023 game between Ireland U21 and Iceland U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ireland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Ireland U21
6%
Draws
90%
Iceland U21
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Iceland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Iceland U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Iceland U21's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Ireland U21 Clean Sheet 15%
Iceland U21 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ireland U21 Iceland U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 15
Draws 11 4
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 0.75 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 26, 2023 Friendly International
Ireland U21 vs Iceland U21
2:1
Nov 15, 2020 Euro U21
Ireland U21 vs Iceland U21
1:2
Oct 15, 2019 Euro U21
Iceland U21 vs Ireland U21
1:0
Mar 22, 2018 Friendly International
Ireland U21 vs Iceland U21
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ireland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Cannon T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kenny J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Iceland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ingason K. M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ireland U21 10 / 100
Iceland U21 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ireland U21 Iceland U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ICE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ireland U21's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Iceland U21 has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Ireland U21 stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Ireland U21 VS Iceland U21
0.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Ireland U21

(Home)
09 Jun
Ireland U21
0 : 0
Qatar U23
06 Jun
Croatia U21
2 : 2
Ireland U21
31 Mar
Kazakhstan U21
0 : 1
Ireland U21
26 Mar
Ireland U21
1 : 1
Moldova U21
18 Nov
Andorra U21
4 : 0
Ireland U21
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Iceland U21

(Away)
30 Mar
France U21
2 : 1
Iceland U21
26 Mar
Iceland U21
6 : 2
Estonia U21
13 Nov
Luxembourg U21
1 : 3
Iceland U21
14 Oct
Iceland U21
2 : 1
Luxembourg U21
10 Oct
Switzerland U21
0 : 0
Iceland U21
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