Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

28' Event
Talhami F.
36' Event
Musa A.
40' Event
Suissa I.

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef North game between Ironi Baka and Hapoel Tirat Karmel finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Ironi Baka.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Ironi Baka
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ironi Baka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Tirat Karmel haven't matched Ironi Baka's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Ironi Baka's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Ironi Baka Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Ironi Baka Hapoel Tirat Karmel
Matches Played 20 21
Wins 8 3
Draws 3 3
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 0 0
Goals Conceded 0.38 0.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.38 0.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Ironi Baka
0:0
Jan 2, 2026 Liga Alef North
Ironi Baka vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Baka Compare

Top Goalscorer Musa A.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Talhami F.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Hapoel Tirat Karmel Compare

Top Goalscorer Suissa I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Baka 42 / 100
Hapoel Tirat Karmel 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Ironi Baka Hapoel Tirat Karmel

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tirat Karmel let in goals in 90% of their last 21 matches.

Attacking prowess: Ironi Baka scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hapoel Tirat Karmel's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Baka VS Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 Goals Scored 0
0.38 Goals Conceded 0.13
13% Over 1.5 0%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Baka

(Home)
27 Feb
Ironi Nesher
0 : 0
Ironi Baka
20 Feb
Ironi Baka
0 : 3
M. Nazareth
13 Feb
Tzeirey Um El Fahem
1 : 0
Ironi Baka
06 Feb
Ironi Baka
4 : 1
Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad
30 Jan
Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad
2 : 1
Ironi Baka
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

(Away)
19 Feb
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 1
Beit Shean
13 Feb
Hapoel Karmiel
1 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
06 Feb
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0 : 2
FC Tzeirey Tamra
30 Jan
Ironi Nesher
1 : 1
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
23 Jan
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
1 : 2
M. Nazareth
Page 1 of 5

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
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