Sport Picks

Israel

State Cup 2025/2026

Ironi Modiin

1 - 3

M. Nazareth

Our Tip

Match Events

35'

Eini G.

(Penalty)

68'

Abu Nasser A.

87'

Khatib A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-3, with M. Nazareth advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%

Ironi Modiin

30%

Draws

41%

M. Nazareth

Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: M. Nazareth

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and M. Nazareth come out ahead of Ironi Modiin on wins alone.
Win probability leans Ironi Modiin's way, sitting at 42%.
M. Nazareth arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
Historical meetings favor M. Nazareth, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Ironi Modiin Clean Sheet 20%

M. Nazareth Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Ironi Modiin	M. Nazareth
Matches Played	29	20
Wins	6	11
Draws	10	3
Losses	13	6
Goals Scored	0.9	1.8
Goals Conceded	1.21	1.5
Expected Goals (xG)	1.46	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 State Cup

Ironi Modiin vs M. Nazareth

1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Ironi Modiin Compare

Avg xG / game 1.12

Avg xA / game 0.73

M. Nazareth Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Nasser A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Khatib A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Ironi Modiin 42 / 100

M. Nazareth 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Ironi Modiin M. Nazareth

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

M. Nazareth has conceded goals in 80% of their last 20 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Ironi Modiin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Ironi Modiin scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Ironi Modiin VS M. Nazareth

1.63 Goals Scored 1

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.29

75% Over 1.5 57%

38% Over 2.5 43%

38% Over 3.5 14%

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Modiin

(Home)

17 Sept

Kiryat Yam

3 : 2

Ironi Modiin

10 Sept

Ironi Modiin

2 : 4

Yehuda

07 Sept

MS Kafr Qasim

0 : 0

Ironi Modiin

30 Aug

Ironi Modiin

1 : 1

Kiryat Gat

23 Aug

Hapoel Kfar Saba

1 : 4

Ironi Modiin

Page 1 of 6

M. Nazareth

(Away)

17 Sept

M. Nazareth

1 : 0

Hapoel Akko

10 Sept

Hapoel Kfar Shalem

3 : 3

M. Nazareth

06 Sept

M. Nazareth

1 : 2

Maccabi Bnei Raina

30 Aug

Maccabi Jaffa

1 : 2

M. Nazareth

24 Aug

M. Nazareth

0 : 1

Hapoel Afula

Page 1 of 4

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/64-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 0

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1

Nes Tziona 1

Hapoel Karmiel 2

Maccabi Bnei Raina -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Shalem -

H. Beer Sheva -

TBD -

Hapoel Hadera -

TBD -

Hapoel Sderot FC 2

Hapoel Ironi Arraba 1

Hapoel Jerusalem -

TBD -

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 7

FC Beer Sheva 0

TBD -

Kiryat Yam -

Beitar Haifa 0

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 5

TBD -

Hapoel Ramat Gan -

TBD -

Shmona -

Ironi Tiberias -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Yehuda -

TBD -

Hapoel Afula -

TBD -

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 0

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3

M. Herzliya -

TBD -

Hapoel Akko -

Kfar Saba 1928 2

Maccabi Yavne 0

TBD -

H. Ironi Rishon -

Maccabi HaSharon Netanya 1

Bnei Jaffa 4

Jerusalem FC 6

Ihud Bnei Majd al-Krum 0

TBD -

Netanya -

Sakhnin -

TBD -

Maccabi Jaffa -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

SC Ashdod -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Hapoel Haifa -

Jadeidi-Makr 5

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1

TBD -

H. Raanana -

Kiryat Haim 1

Hapoel Yarka 2

Kfar Kama 0

Kiryat Gat 1

Ironi Modiin -

TBD -

M. Nazareth 2

Beitar Ramat Gan 1

TBD -

Maccabi Haifa -

Bnei HaGolan VeHaGalil 0

Shimshon Tel Aviv 2

TBD -

MS Kafr Qasim -

Shikun Hamizrah 0

Holon Yermiyahu 5

TBD -

Nof Hagalil -

Ironi Or Yehuda 1

FC Dimona 3

TBD -

Maccabi Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Saba -

1/32-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva -

TBD -

Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad 1

Hapoel Karmiel 4

Maccabi Bnei Raina -

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Shalem -

H. Beer Sheva -

TBD -

Hapoel Hadera 3

Hapoel Sderot FC 4

Hapoel Jerusalem -

TBD -

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 2

Kiryat Yam 1

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod 2

Hapoel Ramat Gan 3

TBD -

Shmona -

Ironi Tiberias -

TBD -

Beitar Jerusalem -

Yehuda -

TBD -

Hapoel Afula 2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 3

M. Herzliya 2

Hapoel Akko 0

Kfar Saba 1928 1

H. Ironi Rishon 0

Bnei Jaffa 1

Jerusalem FC 0

TBD -

Netanya -

Sakhnin -

TBD -

Maccabi Jaffa -

Hapoel Tel Aviv -

TBD -

SC Ashdod -

Maccabi Tel Aviv -

TBD -

Hapoel Haifa -

Jadeidi-Makr 0

H. Raanana 1

Hapoel Yarka 0

Kiryat Gat 4

Ironi Modiin 1

M. Nazareth 3

TBD -

Maccabi Haifa -

Shimshon Tel Aviv 0

MS Kafr Qasim 2

Holon Yermiyahu 1

Nof Hagalil 0

FC Dimona 1

Maccabi Petah Tikva 0

TBD -

Hapoel Kfar Saba -

1/16-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva 2

Hapoel Karmiel 1

Maccabi Bnei Raina 1

Hapoel Kfar Shalem 0

H. Beer Sheva 2

Hapoel Sderot FC 1

Hapoel Jerusalem 2

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 0

Hapoel Ramat Gan 2

Shmona 3

Ironi Tiberias 1

Beitar Jerusalem 2

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik 1

M. Herzliya 4

Kfar Saba 1928 1

Bnei Jaffa 0

Netanya 6

Sakhnin 0

Maccabi Jaffa 2

Hapoel Tel Aviv 3

SC Ashdod 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 5

Hapoel Haifa 0

H. Raanana 4

Kiryat Gat 3

M. Nazareth 1

Maccabi Haifa 8

MS Kafr Qasim 3

Holon Yermiyahu 1

FC Dimona 1

Hapoel Kfar Saba 3

1/8-finals

Hapoel Petah Tikva 1

Maccabi Bnei Raina 2

H. Beer Sheva 2

Hapoel Jerusalem 1

Shmona 0

Beitar Jerusalem 2

Yehuda 1

M. Herzliya 0

Netanya 0

Maccabi Jaffa 2

Hapoel Tel Aviv 1

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

H. Raanana 0

Maccabi Haifa 1

MS Kafr Qasim 1

Hapoel Kfar Saba 0

Quarter-finals

Maccabi Bnei Raina 0

H. Beer Sheva 3

Beitar Jerusalem 1

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Jaffa 0

Maccabi Tel Aviv 5

Maccabi Haifa 2

MS Kafr Qasim 0

Semi-finals

H. Beer Sheva 3

Yehuda 2

Maccabi Tel Aviv 3

Maccabi Haifa 2

Final

H. Beer Sheva 1

Maccabi Tel Aviv 2

Ironi Modiin vs M. Nazareth

Israel

Ironi Modiin

M. Nazareth

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

Ironi Modiin Compare

M. Nazareth Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

Ironi Modiin

M. Nazareth

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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