Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Irtysh Omsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk

Russia Russia

FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 Red Star Stadium, Omsk
Our Tip

Match Events

1'
Petrunin D.
3' Event
Pokotylo D.
8' Event
Pokotylo D.

AI Match Summary

Sibir Novosibirsk in this FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Sibir Novosibirsk.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Irtysh Omsk
28%
Draws
50%
Sibir Novosibirsk
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Sibir Novosibirsk

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Sibir Novosibirsk have won more games recently than Irtysh Omsk.
  • Model gives Sibir Novosibirsk a 50% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Sibir Novosibirsk here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Irtysh Omsk Clean Sheet 12%
Sibir Novosibirsk Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Irtysh Omsk Sibir Novosibirsk
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 3 12
Draws 12 6
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 0.38 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 23, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Irtysh Omsk
4:0
Apr 4, 2026 FNL 2 - Division A Gold
Irtysh Omsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
1:3
Jul 13, 2025 Club Friendly
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Irtysh Omsk
1:0
May 25, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Irtysh Omsk vs Sibir Novosibirsk
0:4
Apr 12, 2025 FNL 2 - Division A Silver
Sibir Novosibirsk vs Irtysh Omsk
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Irtysh Omsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Yangaev A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Sibir Novosibirsk Compare

Top Goalscorer Pokotylo D.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Irtysh Omsk 22 / 100
Sibir Novosibirsk 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Irtysh Omsk Sibir Novosibirsk

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SIB Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Sibir Novosibirsk's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Irtysh Omsk found the back of the net in 54% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Irtysh Omsk remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Irtysh Omsk VS Sibir Novosibirsk
0.38 Goals Scored 1.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Irtysh Omsk

(Home)
18 Jul
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 3
Amkar
13 Jun
Tekstilshtik
2 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
07 Jun
Irtysh Omsk
1 : 2
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
31 May
Kaluga
0 : 0
Irtysh Omsk
27 May
Irtysh Omsk
0 : 2
Mashuk
Page 1 of 6

Sibir Novosibirsk

(Away)
19 Jul
Dynamo Vladivostok
1 : 2
Sibir Novosibirsk
21 Jun
Sibir Novosibirsk
2 : 1
Veles Moscow
17 Jun
Veles Moscow
4 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
13 Jun
FC Volgar-Astrakhan
1 : 1
Sibir Novosibirsk
07 Jun
Sibir Novosibirsk
1 : 0
Kaluga
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Leningradets18104423:2334
2Tekstilshtik18102629:1832
3Sibir Novosibirsk1895428:2032
4Veles Moscow1884620:1228
5Mashuk18511220:1326
6FC Volgar-Astrakhan1866621:1924
7Kaluga1855817:2020
8Rodina Moscow 21847720:2319
9Torpedo Miass1837813:2316
10Irtysh Omsk18171011:3110
Promotion - FNL (Main)
Promotion - FNL 2 - Division A Gold 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - FNL 2 - Division A Silver (Fall Season)