Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Iskra Ribnita vs FCM Ungheni

Moldova Moldova

Liga 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Iskra Ribnita in this Liga 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Iskra Ribnita.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Iskra Ribnita
39%
Draws
31%
FCM Ungheni
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FCM Ungheni lately — more wins on the board than Iskra Ribnita.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular Liga 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Iskra Ribnita Clean Sheet 10%
FCM Ungheni Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Iskra Ribnita FCM Ungheni
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 15
Draws 7 3
Losses 10 11
Goals Scored 1 3.25
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 3.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2025 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs FCM Ungheni
1:0
Aug 29, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Iskra Ribnita
3:1
Jul 25, 2025 Liga 1
Iskra Ribnita vs FCM Ungheni
2:1
Mar 28, 2025 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Iskra Ribnita
2:2
Nov 1, 2024 Liga 1
FCM Ungheni vs Iskra Ribnita
4:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Iskra Ribnita 29 / 100
FCM Ungheni 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Iskra Ribnita FCM Ungheni

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ISK Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Iskra Ribnita's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: FCM Ungheni conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Solid form: Iskra Ribnita remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Iskra Ribnita VS FCM Ungheni
1 Goals Scored 3.25
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 88%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Iskra Ribnita

(Home)
20 May
Real Sireti
1 : 0
Iskra Ribnita
16 May
Iskra Ribnita
3 : 1
Stauceni
09 May
Sparta Selemet
0 : 2
Iskra Ribnita
05 May
Iskra Ribnita
3 : 0
Real Sireti
01 May
Iskra Ribnita
0 : 2
Politehnica UTM
Page 1 of 6

FCM Ungheni

(Away)
27 Jun
FC Bacau
1 : 0
FCM Ungheni
16 May
Floresti
5 : 4
FCM Ungheni
06 May
FCM Ungheni
4 : 2
Victoria
24 Apr
FCM Ungheni
5 : 1
Zimbru Chisinau 2
17 Apr
Univer Comrat
4 : 3
FCM Ungheni
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Stauceni15122145:1238
2Real Sireti15112252:2035
3Univer Comrat1590633:2527
4Sheriff Tiraspol 21543818:2715
5Olimp Comrat15311114:4410
6Falesti15121215:495
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Floresti1594243:1331
2Zimbru Chisinau 21583430:2527
3Iskra Ribnita1583429:2927
4FCM Ungheni1573530:2224
5Oguzsport1524917:2810
6Victoria15211217:497
Promotion - Super Liga 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Liga 1 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)