Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Isla de La Juventud vs FC Cienfuegos

Cuba Cuba

Liga Nacional 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

FC Cienfuegos in this Liga Nacional 2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored FC Cienfuegos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Isla de La Juventud
40%
Draws
29%
FC Cienfuegos
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Cienfuegos lately — more wins on the board than Isla de La Juventud.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors FC Cienfuegos here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Isla de La Juventud Clean Sheet 17%
FC Cienfuegos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Isla de La Juventud FC Cienfuegos
Matches Played 23 36
Wins 6 21
Draws 3 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 0.63 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 1, 2023 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs FC Cienfuegos
0:2
May 7, 2022 Liga Nacional
FC Cienfuegos vs Isla de La Juventud
4:1
Mar 19, 2022 Liga Nacional
Isla de La Juventud vs FC Cienfuegos
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Isla de La Juventud 31 / 100
FC Cienfuegos 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Isla de La Juventud FC Cienfuegos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.67 goals per match.

FC Cienfuegos has conceded goals in 61% of their last 36 outings.

Isla de La Juventud went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Isla de La Juventud's goal record stands at 52% scoring rate across 23 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Isla de La Juventud VS FC Cienfuegos
0.63 Goals Scored 1.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Isla de La Juventud

(Home)
21 Jun
FC La Habana
3 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
18 Jun
Artemisa
0 : 3
Isla de La Juventud
17 May
Isla de La Juventud
3 : 0
FC La Habana
09 May
Isla de La Juventud
0 : 3
Artemisa
03 May
Pinar del Rio
0 : 1
Isla de La Juventud
Page 1 of 5

FC Cienfuegos

(Away)
14 Jun
FC Cienfuegos
0 : 1
FC Villa Clara
07 Jun
Matanzas
1 : 2
FC Cienfuegos
24 May
Mayabeque Guines
0 : 3
FC Cienfuegos
17 May
FC Cienfuegos
2 : 2
Mayabeque Guines
10 May
FC Cienfuegos
1 : 0
Matanzas
Page 1 of 8

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Cienfuegos761014:219
2FC La Habana752011:217
3Matanzas740311:812
4Artemisa731315:810
5FC Villa Clara72146:117
6Isla de La Juventud72145:107
7Pinar del Rio71246:155
8Mayabeque Guines71064:163
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1FC Santiago de Cuba742114:514
2FC Guantanamo742112:614
3FC Holguin74129:713
4FC Camaguey73319:412
5CF Granma73045:99
6FC Sancti Spiritus72142:67
7FC Ciego de Avila72145:107
8Las Tunas70253:122
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Apertura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga Nacional 2023 (Clausura)