Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Islandmagee vs Rathfern Rangers

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2010/2011
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

This match ends 4-1, with Islandmagee advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Islandmagee
15%
Draws
42%
Rathfern Rangers
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Islandmagee

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Islandmagee come out ahead of Rathfern Rangers on wins alone.
  • Rathfern Rangers are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Islandmagee have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Islandmagee, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 99%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 99%
Over 3.5 Goals 71.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 83.4%
Islandmagee Clean Sheet 12%
Rathfern Rangers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Islandmagee Rathfern Rangers
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 18 1
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 2.66 1.71
Goals Conceded 2.24 3.14
Expected Goals (xG) 3.23 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 18, 2010 Irish Cup
Islandmagee vs Rathfern Rangers
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Islandmagee 19 / 100
Rathfern Rangers 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Islandmagee Rathfern Rangers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Rathfern Rangers Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Islandmagee's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Rathfern Rangers conceded in 100% of 7 recent games.

These sides typically produce 5.00 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Rathfern Rangers registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Islandmagee VS Rathfern Rangers
3.25 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 3.2
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 80%

Recent Form & Match History

Islandmagee

(Home)
30 Nov
Islandmagee
0 : 4
Ballymacash
08 Jan
Cliftonville
5 : 0
Islandmagee
27 Jul
Islandmagee
0 : 3
Carrick Rangers
30 Nov
East Belfast
7 : 1
Islandmagee
02 Nov
Ardstraw
1 : 2
Islandmagee
Page 1 of 6

Rathfern Rangers

(Away)
19 Aug
Rathfern Rangers
4 : 5
Lisburn Rangers
20 Aug
Downshire Y.M.
4 : 0
Rathfern Rangers
03 Oct
Valley Rangers
3 : 1
Rathfern Rangers
22 Aug
Rathfern Rangers
4 : 2
Richhill
09 Nov
Rathfern Rangers
1 : 2
Sirocco
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/256-finals
Crusaders -
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Crusaders -
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Newry City -
Foundry -
TBD -
TBD -
Larne Technical Old Boys -
Crewe 2
Draperstown 1
Seagoe 1
Ardstraw 6
Dromara 7
Lisanally Rangers 3
Holywood 1
Downshire Y.M. 2
Wellington Rec 5
Strabane FC 0
Laurelvale 2
Rosario Youth 3
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
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Camlough 5
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Saintfield 2
Barn 3
Downpatrick 2
Drumaness 1
Fivemiletown 2
Nortel 6
Lisburn Distillery -
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Chimney -
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Dundela -
Larne -
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Bangor FC -
Dergview -
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Ballinamallard -
Glenavon -
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Killymoon -
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Annagh -
Crumlin United 1
Mossley FC 0
Hanover 2
Bloomfield 5
Ards Rangers 9
Ballynure 2
Bangor Rangers 1
Malachians 5
TBD -
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Armagh -
PSNI -
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Queens University -
Harland & Wolff -
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Ballyclare -
Coagh Utd -
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Ards -
Donegal -
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Portadown -
Glentoran -
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Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure -
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Islandmagee 4
Rathfern Rangers 1
Ballynahinch United 0
Abbey Villa 2
Newington Rangers 2
East Belfast 1
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Dungiven -
Tobermore -
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Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
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Moyola -
Banbridge -
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Magherafelt 2
Mountjoy 1
Kesh 2
Bryansburn 5
Richhill -
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AFC Craigavon 1
Shankill 2
Limavady -
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Wakehurst -
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Coleraine -
Dungannon -
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Knockbreda -
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Ballymoney -
Cliftonville -
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Comber Rec 4
Raceview 2
Lower Maze 1
Grove 4
Lisburn Rangers 6
Donard 1
Newcastle 1
Dollingstown 5
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Warrenpoint -
Dunmurry Rec -
TBD -
Desertmartin 0
Brantwood 2
Ballynure Old Boys 4
Shorts 2
18th Newtownabbey Old Boys 2
Broomhedge 5
TBD -
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Lurgan Celtic -
Portstewart -
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Ardglass 3
Sirocco 1
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Bangor Swifts -
Killyleagh Youth 3
Banbridge Rangers 1
Bangor Old Boys 3
Kilmore Rec 6
Institute -
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Tandragee 2
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Groomsport 3
Kilbride 4
Derriaghy -
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Newington FC -
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Linfield -
1/128-finals
Crusaders -
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Crusaders -
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Newry City -
Foundry 3
Larne Technical Old Boys 1
Crewe 1
Ardstraw 2
Dromara 3
Downshire Y.M. 1
Wellington Rec 2
Rosario Youth 3
Glebe -
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TBD -
TBD -
Camlough 2
Barn 0
Downpatrick 0
Nortel 4
Lisburn Distillery -
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Chimney -
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Dundela -
Larne -
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Bangor FC -
Dergview -
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Ballinamallard -
Glenavon -
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Killymoon -
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Annagh -
Crumlin United 4
Bloomfield 1
Ards Rangers 2
Malachians 4
TBD -
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Armagh -
PSNI -
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Queens University -
Harland & Wolff -
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Ballyclare -
Coagh Utd -
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Ards -
Donegal -
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Portadown -
Glentoran -
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Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure -
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Islandmagee 3
Abbey Villa 2
Newington Rangers 2
Dungiven 3
Tobermore -
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Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
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Moyola -
Banbridge -
TBD -
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TBD -
Magherafelt 2
Bryansburn 0
Richhill 0
Shankill 3
Limavady -
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Wakehurst -
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Coleraine -
Dungannon -
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Knockbreda -
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Ballymoney -
Cliftonville -
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Comber Rec 3
Grove 1
Lisburn Rangers 3
Dollingstown 5
TBD -
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TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Dunmurry Rec 1
Brantwood 0
Ballynure Old Boys 0
Broomhedge 1
TBD -
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TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Portstewart -
TBD -
TBD -
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Ardglass 4
Bangor Swifts 1
Killyleagh Youth 2
Kilmore Rec 4
Institute -
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Tandragee 3
Kilbride 2
Derriaghy 2
Newington FC 3
TBD -
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TBD -
Linfield -
1/64-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders 3
Newry City 2
Foundry 6
Ardstraw 3
Dromara 1
Rosario Youth 3
Glebe -
TBD -
Camlough 0
Nortel 2
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chimney -
TBD -
TBD -
Dundela -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor FC -
Dergview -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballinamallard -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh -
Crumlin United 2
Malachians 1
TBD -
Armagh -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Queens University -
Harland & Wolff -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure -
TBD -
Islandmagee 1
Dungiven 3
Tobermore -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Carrick Rangers -
TBD -
TBD -
Moyola -
Banbridge -
TBD -
Magherafelt 0
Shankill 1
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
Wakehurst -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coleraine -
Dungannon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Knockbreda -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymoney -
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Comber Rec 4
Dollingstown 2
TBD -
Warrenpoint -
Dunmurry Rec 5
Broomhedge 0
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
Portstewart -
TBD -
Ardglass 1
Kilmore Rec 2
Institute -
TBD -
Tandragee 0
Newington FC 8
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
1/32-finals
Crusaders -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
Foundry 3
Rosario Youth 1
Glebe 1
Nortel 2
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Chimney 0
Dundela 5
Larne 2
Bangor FC 1
Dergview 2
Ballinamallard 3
Glenavon -
TBD -
Killymoon 1
Annagh 2
Crumlin United 3
Armagh 2
PSNI 2
Queens University 3
Harland & Wolff 4
Ballyclare 2
Coagh Utd 2
Ards 5
Donegal -
TBD -
TBD -
Portadown -
Glentoran -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballymena -
Sport & Leisure 5
Dungiven 3
Tobermore 3
Loughgall 5
Carrick Rangers 6
Moyola 1
Banbridge 0
Shankill 1
Limavady 2
Wakehurst 0
TBD -
Coleraine -
Dungannon -
TBD -
Knockbreda 0
Ballymoney 2
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Comber Rec 2
Warrenpoint 3
Dunmurry Rec 3
Lurgan Celtic 2
Portstewart 0
Kilmore Rec 2
Institute 1
Newington FC 0
TBD -
Linfield -
1/16-finals
Crusaders -
Newry City -
Foundry 0
Nortel 2
Lisburn Distillery 4
Dundela 1
Larne 2
Ballinamallard 6
Glenavon 6
Annagh 2
Crumlin United 0
Queens University 1
Harland & Wolff 3
Ards 2
Donegal 3
Portadown 4
Glentoran 4
Ballymena 3
Sport & Leisure 2
Loughgall 6
Carrick Rangers 9
Shankill 4
Limavady 1
Coleraine 2
Dungannon 5
Ballymoney 1
Cliftonville 1
Warrenpoint 2
Dunmurry Rec 7
Kilmore Rec 2
Institute 1
Linfield 5
1/8-finals
Crusaders 2
Nortel 1
Lisburn Distillery 4
Ballinamallard 6
Glenavon 2
Queens University 0
Harland & Wolff 1
Portadown 2
Glentoran 3
Loughgall 1
Carrick Rangers 1
Coleraine 3
Dungannon 4
Warrenpoint 2
Dunmurry Rec 1
Linfield 4
Quarter-finals
Crusaders 5
Ballinamallard 0
Glenavon 3
Portadown 6
Glentoran 5
Coleraine 4
Dungannon 0
Linfield 2
Semi-finals
Crusaders 3
Portadown 1
Glentoran 0
Linfield 2
Final
Crusaders 1
Linfield 2