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Israel U19 vs Italy U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Stadio Comunale Marcello Bonci, Pesaro
Tue, Nov 17, 2026
VS
12:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Israel U19 host Italy U19 in the Euro U19. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Italy U19 have shipped 0.58 goals a game lately, while Israel U19 have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.8. Past meetings favor Israel U19 slightly — 1-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Mar 25, 2016, ending 0:4. xG projections (0.96 - 0.92) back Italy U19 to edge this. The model tips Over 2.5 goals in this one.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Israel U19
15%
Draws
46%
Italy U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Italy U19's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 14.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Israel U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Israel U19 Italy U19
Matches Played 30 38
Wins 13 24
Draws 7 10
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.8 2.11
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.58
Expected Goals (xG) 0.96 0.92
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2016 Euro U19
Israel U19 vs Italy U19
0:4
Oct 8, 2013 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Israel U19
0:2
Feb 29, 2012 Friendly International
Israel U19 vs Italy U19
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Israel U19 28 / 100
Italy U19 39 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Israel U19 Italy U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Israel U19 scored in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Games between these two average 2.67 goals.

Israel U19 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Italy U19 conceded in 45% of 38 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Israel U19 VS Italy U19
1.29 Goals Scored 1.13
0.71 Goals Conceded 0.63
57% Over 1.5 63%
29% Over 2.5 25%
29% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Israel U19

(Home)
11 Nov
Ukraine U19
3 : 2
Israel U19
05 Oct
Montenegro U19
0 : 1
Israel U19
02 Oct
Montenegro U19
0 : 2
Israel U19
31 Mar
Bosnia & Herzegovina U19
1 : 1
Israel U19
28 Mar
Germany U19
1 : 3
Israel U19
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Italy U19

(Away)
11 Nov
Italy U19
2 : 0
Romania U19
01 Oct
Croatia U19
0 : 1
Italy U19
28 Sept
Italy U19
3 : 0
Turkey U19
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
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