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Stadium Background

Israel vs Norway

World World

World Championship 2026 Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Heggem T.
39' Event
Wolfe D.
Assist: Odegaard M.
46'
Sub
Jaber M. In: Abu Fani M.
Out: Jaber M.

AI Match Summary

Norway in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Norway.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Israel
20%
Draws
42%
Norway
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Norway

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Norway lately — more wins on the board than Israel.
  • Win probability leans Israel's way, sitting at 80%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Norway here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 48%
Over 4.5 Goals 22%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Israel Clean Sheet 16%
Norway Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Israel Norway
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 11 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 12 5
Goals Scored 1.46 2.66
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.15 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2025 World Championship
Norway vs Israel
5:0
Mar 25, 2025 World Championship
Israel vs Norway
2:4
Nov 11, 2020 Friendly International
Norway vs Israel
0:0
Jan 19, 1999 Friendly International
Israel vs Norway
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Israel Compare

Top Goalscorer Abu Fani M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turgeman D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57

Norway Compare

Top Goalscorer Wolfe D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sorloth A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Israel 75 / 100
Norway 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Israel Norway

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Israel Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Israel found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Norway has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Israel went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Israel VS Norway
1.17 Goals Scored 2.5
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
33% Over 1.5 88%
33% Over 2.5 75%
33% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Israel

(Home)
03 Jun
Albania
0 : 1
Israel
26 Mar
Georgia
2 : 2
Israel
16 Nov
Israel
4 : 1
Moldova
13 Nov
Lithuania
0 : 0
Israel
14 Oct
Italy
3 : 0
Israel
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Norway

(Away)
11 Jul
Norway
1 : 2
England
05 Jul
Brazil
1 : 2
Norway
30 Jun
Ivory Coast
1 : 2
Norway
26 Jun
Norway
1 : 4
France
23 Jun
Norway
3 : 2
Senegal
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Germany 6 5 0 1 16:3 15
2 Slovakia 6 4 0 2 6:8 12
3 Northern Ireland 6 3 0 3 7:6 9
4 Luxembourg 6 0 0 6 1:13 0
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League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Switzerland 6 4 2 0 14:2 14
2 Kosovo 6 3 2 1 6:5 11
3 Slovenia 6 0 4 2 3:8 4
4 Sweden 6 0 2 4 4:12 2
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League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Scotland 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Denmark 6 3 2 1 16:7 11
3 Greece 6 2 1 3 10:12 7
4 Belarus 6 0 2 4 4:17 2
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League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France 6 5 1 0 16:4 16
2 Ukraine 6 3 1 2 10:11 10
3 Iceland 6 2 1 3 13:11 7
4 Azerbaijan 6 0 1 5 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain 6 5 1 0 21:2 16
2 Turkey 6 4 1 1 17:12 13
3 Georgia 6 1 0 5 7:15 3
4 Bulgaria 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Portugal 6 4 1 1 20:7 13
2 Ireland 6 3 1 2 9:7 10
3 Hungary 6 2 2 2 11:10 8
4 Armenia 6 1 0 5 3:19 3
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League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Netherlands 8 6 2 0 27:4 20
2 Poland 8 5 2 1 14:7 17
3 Finland 8 3 1 4 8:14 10
4 Malta 8 1 2 5 4:19 5
5 Lithuania 8 0 3 5 6:15 3
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League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Austria 8 6 1 1 22:4 19
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 8 5 2 1 17:7 17
3 Romania 8 4 1 3 19:10 13
4 Cyprus 8 2 2 4 11:11 8
5 San Marino 8 0 0 8 2:39 0
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League Standings (Group 9)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway 8 8 0 0 37:5 24
2 Italy 8 6 0 2 21:12 18
3 Israel 8 4 0 4 19:20 12
4 Estonia 8 1 1 6 8:21 4
5 Moldova 8 0 1 7 5:32 1
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League Standings (Group 10)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Belgium 8 5 3 0 29:7 18
2 Wales 8 5 1 2 21:11 16
3 North Macedonia 8 3 4 1 13:10 13
4 Kazakhstan 8 2 2 4 9:13 8
5 Liechtenstein 8 0 0 8 0:31 0
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League Standings (Group 11)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 England 8 8 0 0 22:0 24
2 Albania 8 4 2 2 7:5 14
3 Serbia 8 4 1 3 9:10 13
4 Latvia 8 1 2 5 5:15 5
5 Andorra 8 0 1 7 3:16 1
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League Standings (Group 12)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Croatia 8 7 1 0 26:4 22
2 Czech Republic 8 5 1 2 18:8 16
3 Faroe Islands 8 4 0 4 11:9 12
4 Montenegro 8 3 0 5 8:17 9
5 Gibraltar 8 0 0 8 3:28 0
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