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Stadium Background

Istiklol Fergana vs Shortan Guzor

Uzbekistan Uzbekistan

Pro Liga 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Istiklol Fergana in this Pro Liga 2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Istiklol Fergana.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Istiklol Fergana
44%
Draws
20%
Shortan Guzor
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Shortan Guzor haven't matched Istiklol Fergana's recent run of results.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
Istiklol Fergana Clean Sheet 20%
Shortan Guzor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Istiklol Fergana Shortan Guzor
Matches Played 41 41
Wins 19 18
Draws 12 9
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 0 1.13
Goals Conceded 0 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 20, 2021 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Istiklol Fergana
0:0
Oct 9, 2020 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Shortan Guzor
1:0
Jul 3, 2020 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Istiklol Fergana
2:0
Nov 13, 2019 Pro Liga
Shortan Guzor vs Istiklol Fergana
2:2
Sep 22, 2019 Pro Liga
Istiklol Fergana vs Shortan Guzor
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Istiklol Fergana 36 / 100
Shortan Guzor 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Istiklol Fergana Shortan Guzor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SHO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Istiklol Fergana remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Istiklol Fergana scored in 66% of their last 41 games.

Shortan Guzor's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 41 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Scoring Trends

- VS Shortan Guzor
0 Goals Scored 1.13
0 Goals Conceded 1.88
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mashal Muborak28167552:2455
2Istiklol Fergana28165764:2853
3Oktepa Tashkent28163962:4251
4Neftchi Fargona281531040:2648
5Shortan Guzor281531055:3648
6Xorazm Urganch28145958:3747
7Sherdor28422239:7514
8Iftixor28122516:1185