Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itabaiana vs Confianca

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Nordeste Estadio Etelvino Mendonca, Itabaiana
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Valdir Junior In: Weriton
Out: Valdir Junior
45'
Breiner C.
50'
Ricardo Cerqueira

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Itabaiana
30%
Draws
47%
Confianca
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Confianca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Confianca lately — more wins on the board than Itabaiana.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Confianca arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Confianca, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 24%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Itabaiana Clean Sheet 20%
Confianca Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabaiana Confianca
Matches Played 42 48
Wins 14 18
Draws 13 9
Losses 15 21
Goals Scored 1.05 1.15
Goals Conceded 1.12 1.02
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Serie C
Confianca vs Itabaiana
1:1
Apr 9, 2026 Copa do Nordeste
Itabaiana vs Confianca
0:1
Feb 28, 2026 Sergipano
Itabaiana vs Confianca
0:2
Feb 25, 2026 Sergipano
Confianca vs Itabaiana
1:2
Feb 8, 2026 Sergipano
Confianca vs Itabaiana
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabaiana Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Confianca Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucas Cunha
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabaiana 32 / 100
Confianca 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabaiana Confianca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabaiana's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 42 recent games.

Confianca has conceded goals in 69% of their last 48 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Confianca registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabaiana VS Confianca
0.88 Goals Scored 0.75
1 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabaiana

(Home)
29 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
Botafogo PB
23 Aug
Maranhao
4 : 1
Itabaiana
16 Aug
Barra FC (Santa Catarina)
1 : 0
Itabaiana
09 Aug
Itabaiana
0 : 2
SER Caxias do Sul
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
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Confianca

(Away)
29 Aug
Ferroviaria
1 : 0
Confianca
22 Aug
Confianca
0 : 1
Anapolis
16 Aug
Confianca
1 : 1
Maringa FC
10 Aug
Paysandu PA
2 : 1
Confianca
25 Jul
Confianca
1 : 1
Itabaiana
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