Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Itabirito W vs Ceara W

Brazil Brazil

Copa do Brasil Women
Our Tip

Match Events

63' Event
Victoria B.
87' Event
Vania

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
Itabirito W
20%
Draws
22%
Ceara W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Itabirito W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Itabirito W come out ahead of Ceara W on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on Itabirito W taking it.
  • Itabirito W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Itabirito W, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 7%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Itabirito W Clean Sheet 68%
Ceara W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itabirito W Ceara W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 5 5
Losses 4 15
Goals Scored 2.04 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.64 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.17 0.39
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Copa do Brasil Women
Itabirito W vs Ceara W
2:0
Mar 14, 2026 Brasileiro A2 Women
Itabirito W vs Ceara W
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itabirito W Compare

Top Goalscorer Victoria B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vania
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.67
Avg xA / game 1.08

Ceara W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.35
Avg xA / game 0.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itabirito W 95 / 100
Ceara W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itabirito W Ceara W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Itabirito W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Itabirito W scored in 86% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Ceara W conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Itabirito W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itabirito W VS Ceara W
2.13 Goals Scored 0.4
0.38 Goals Conceded 2.2
50% Over 1.5 80%
38% Over 2.5 60%
13% Over 3.5 20%

Recent Form & Match History

Itabirito W

(Home)
13 Sept
Itabirito W
1 : 3
Vasco W
09 Sept
Atletico-MG W
0 : 0
Itabirito W
06 Sept
Itabirito W
4 : 1
Minas Brasilia W
30 Aug
Minas Brasilia W
1 : 1
Itabirito W
23 Aug
Itabirito W
3 : 0
Sport Recife W
Page 1 of 6

Ceara W

(Away)
08 Aug
Ceara W
0 : 3
Sport Recife W
01 Aug
Vila Nova FC W
1 : 0
Ceara W
25 Jul
Minas Brasilia W
4 : 0
Ceara W
12 Jul
Ceara W
2 : 1
3B da Amazonia W
31 May
Ceara W
0 : 2
Vasco W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Fluminense W -
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Minas Brasilia W -
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Vila Nova FC W -
Cruzeiro W -
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Penarol W -
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Alagoinhas W -
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Doce Mel W -
Perolas Negras W -
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Pantanal W 1
Sao Joao PI W 2
Ipojuca W -
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Remo W -
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CR Flamengo W -
Taubate W -
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3B da Amazonia W -
Mixto W -
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Acao W -
Botafogo RJ W -
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EC Juventude W -
Guarani de Paripueira W -
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Sao Jose W -
Prosperidade W -
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Brasil de Farroupilha W -
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Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
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UD Alagoana W -
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Paraiso EC W -
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Ypiranga AP W -
Palmeiras W -
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Corinthians W -
Atletico-MG W -
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Cresspom W -
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Juventude W -
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Vitoria W -
Galvez W -
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Uniao RN W -
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Atletico-PI W -
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Santos W -
Sampaio Correa W 3
Portuguesa AP W 2
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Várzea Grande EC W -
Sao Raimundo RR W -
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Heips W -
Coritiba W -
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Mixto PB W -
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Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W -
Internacional W -
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Gremio W -
Vasco W -
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Araguari W -
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Itapuense W -
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America Mineiro W -
Rolim de Moura W -
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Mauaense W -
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Itacoatiara W -
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Sao Paulo W -
Realidade Jovem W -
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Itabirito W -
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Ceara W -
Sport Recife W -
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Criciuma W -
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R4 EC W -
Tiradentes PA W -
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Planalto EC W -
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Paysandu PA W -
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Bahia W -
1/64-finals
Fluminense W -
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Minas Brasilia W -
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Vila Nova FC W -
Cruzeiro W -
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Penarol W -
Alagoinhas W -
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Doce Mel W -
Perolas Negras W 1
Sao Joao PI W 2
Ipojuca W 2
Remo W 1
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CR Flamengo W -
Taubate W -
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3B da Amazonia W -
Mixto W -
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Acao W -
Botafogo RJ W -
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EC Juventude W -
Guarani de Paripueira W 3
Sao Jose W 4
Prosperidade W 1
Brasil de Farroupilha W 0
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Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
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UD Alagoana W -
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Paraiso EC W 1
Ypiranga AP W 2
Palmeiras W -
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Corinthians W -
Atletico-MG W -
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Cresspom W 0
Juventude W 1
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Vitoria W -
Galvez W 1
Uniao RN W 5
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Atletico-PI W -
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Santos W -
Sampaio Correa W 2
Várzea Grande EC W 1
Sao Raimundo RR W 0
Heips W 1
Coritiba W 1
Mixto PB W 0
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Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W -
Internacional W -
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Gremio W -
Vasco W -
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Araguari W 5
Itapuense W 2
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America Mineiro W -
Rolim de Moura W 1
Mauaense W 2
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Itacoatiara W -
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Sao Paulo W -
Realidade Jovem W 1
Itabirito W 2
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Ceara W -
Sport Recife W -
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Criciuma W 1
R4 EC W 0
Tiradentes PA W 2
Planalto EC W 4
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Paysandu PA W -
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Bahia W -
1/32-finals
Fluminense W -
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Minas Brasilia W 1
Vila Nova FC W 0
Cruzeiro W -
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Penarol W 1
Doce Mel W 2
Sao Joao PI W 7
Ipojuca W 0
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CR Flamengo W -
Taubate W 0
3B da Amazonia W 1
Mixto W 0
Acao W 1
Botafogo RJ W -
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EC Juventude W -
Sao Jose W 2
Prosperidade W 1
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Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
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UD Alagoana W 4
Ypiranga AP W 1
Palmeiras W -
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Corinthians W -
Atletico-MG W -
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Juventude W 2
Vitoria W 3
Uniao RN W 0
Atletico-PI W 1
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Santos W -
Sampaio Correa W 2
Heips W 3
Coritiba W 3
Atletico Rio Negro (Roraima) W 1
Internacional W -
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Gremio W -
Vasco W 5
Araguari W 1
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America Mineiro W -
Mauaense W 3
Itacoatiara W 0
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Sao Paulo W -
Itabirito W 2
Ceara W 0
Sport Recife W 3
Criciuma W 0
Planalto EC W 2
Paysandu PA W 1
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Bahia W -
1/16-finals
Fluminense W 2
Minas Brasilia W 0
Cruzeiro W 5
Doce Mel W 0
Sao Joao PI W 0
CR Flamengo W 2
3B da Amazonia W 2
Acao W 0
Botafogo RJ W 3
EC Juventude W 0
Sao Jose W 1
Bragantino W 4
Ferroviaria W 8
UD Alagoana W 0
Palmeiras W 0
Corinthians W 1
Atletico-MG W 3
Vitoria W 1
Atletico-PI W 2
Santos W 1
Heips W 0
Coritiba W 2
Internacional W 1
Gremio W 0
Vasco W 1
America Mineiro W 0
Mauaense W 0
Sao Paulo W 3
Itabirito W 2
Sport Recife W 1
Planalto EC W 0
Bahia W 1
1/8-finals
Fluminense W 2
Cruzeiro W 1
CR Flamengo W 1
3B da Amazonia W 0
Botafogo RJ W 0
Bragantino W 2
Ferroviaria W 1
Corinthians W 0
Atletico-MG W 2
Atletico-PI W 1
Coritiba W 0
Internacional W 1
Vasco W 0
Sao Paulo W 1
Itabirito W 0
Bahia W 1
Quarter-finals
Fluminense W -
CR Flamengo W -
Bragantino W -
Ferroviaria W -
Atletico-MG W -
Internacional W -
Sao Paulo W -
Bahia W -
Semi-finals
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Final
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