Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Italy U17 vs Portugal U17

Europe Europe

Euro U17 2025 Arena Kombetare
Thu, May 29, 2025
2 - 3
06:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Italy U17 play Portugal U17 in the Euro U17 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Italy U17 averaged 2.17 goals scored and 1.13 conceded. Portugal U17 averaged 2.57 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. In past meetings, Italy U17 won 4, Portugal U17 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 25, 2026 ended 3:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.38 for Italy U17 and 1.44 for Portugal U17. This points to a Italy U17 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Italy U17
15%
Draws
38%
Portugal U17
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U17

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U17 picked up more points recently compared to Portugal U17.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.38 vs 1.44 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 86%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Italy U17 Clean Sheet 16%
Portugal U17 Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 82%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U17 Portugal U17
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 23 20
Draws 1 3
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.17 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Portugal U17
3:2
Sep 4, 2025 Friendly International
Portugal U17 vs Italy U17
1:2
May 29, 2025 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Portugal U17
2:3
Sep 3, 2024 Friendly International
Italy U17 vs Portugal U17
2:0
Jun 5, 2024 Euro U17
Italy U17 vs Portugal U17
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Italy U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Inacio S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Baralla A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Portugal U17 Compare

Top Goalscorer Dores S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Soares T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U17 46 / 100
Portugal U17 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U17 Portugal U17

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Italy U17 or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +20.3%
2.56
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Italy U17 attacking → ← attacking Portugal U17

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U17 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Portugal U17 let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Italy U17 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Portugal U17 lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

70 Points in last 5 63
1.63 Goals expected (xG) 1.63
1.25 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13