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Italy U19 vs Ukraine U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Stadio Raffaele Mancini, Fano
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
02:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Italy U19 host Ukraine U19 in the Euro U19. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Ukraine U19 have shipped 1.24 goals a game lately, while Italy U19 have conceded 0.58 and scored 2.11. Past meetings favor Italy U19 slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 5, 2026, ending 1:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.94, favoring Italy U19. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
Italy U19
15%
Draws
31%
Ukraine U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Italy U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • Italy U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Italy U19 are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Italy U19 Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine U19 Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Italy U19 Ukraine U19
Matches Played 38 34
Wins 24 14
Draws 10 4
Losses 4 16
Goals Scored 2.11 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.58 1.24
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Euro U19
Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19
1:0
Jul 21, 2024 Euro U19
Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19
3:2
Mar 23, 2019 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Ukraine U19
3:1
May 22, 2013 Euro U19
Ukraine U19 vs Italy U19
0:1
May 24, 2011 Euro U19
Italy U19 vs Ukraine U19
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Italy U19 67 / 100
Ukraine U19 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Italy U19 Ukraine U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Italy U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Italy U19 scored in 84% of their last 38 games.

Defensive concern: Ukraine U19 conceded in 65% of 34 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Solid form: Italy U19 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Italy U19 VS Ukraine U19
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.88
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Italy U19

(Home)
11 Nov
Italy U19
2 : 0
Romania U19
01 Oct
Croatia U19
0 : 1
Italy U19
28 Sept
Italy U19
3 : 0
Turkey U19
25 Sept
France U19
1 : 2
Italy U19
08 Jul
Denmark U19
1 : 0
Italy U19
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Ukraine U19

(Away)
11 Nov
Ukraine U19
3 : 2
Israel U19
30 Sept
Scotland U19
0 : 2
Ukraine U19
27 Sept
Germany U19
0 : 0
Ukraine U19
24 Sept
Sweden U19
2 : 1
Ukraine U19
08 Jul
Ukraine U19
1 : 2
Germany U19
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