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Itapipoca U20 vs Caucaia U20

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Cearense U20 2024
Our Tip

Match Events

49' Event
Weslley
(Penalty)
59' Event
Weslley

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2024 game between Itapipoca U20 and Caucaia U20 finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itapipoca U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Itapipoca U20
20%
Draws
64%
Caucaia U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Caucaia U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Caucaia U20 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Itapipoca U20's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Caucaia U20 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 94%
Over 1.5 Goals 84%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.2%
Itapipoca U20 Clean Sheet 13%
Caucaia U20 Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itapipoca U20 Caucaia U20
Matches Played 16 26
Wins 5 9
Draws 3 2
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.06 1.08
Goals Conceded 1.44 1.54
Expected Goals (xG) 0.66 1.65
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Cearense U20
Itapipoca U20 vs Caucaia U20
0:2
Jul 9, 2024 Cearense U20
Caucaia U20 vs Itapipoca U20
1:0
Jul 3, 2024 Cearense U20
Itapipoca U20 vs Caucaia U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itapipoca U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Weslley
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.33

Caucaia U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.5
Avg xA / game 0.92

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itapipoca U20 35 / 100
Caucaia U20 35 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itapipoca U20 Caucaia U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Caucaia U20 has conceded goals in 69% of their last 26 outings.

Historical meetings average 1.67 goals per match.

Away concern: Caucaia U20 has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Itapipoca U20 scored in 44% of their last 16 outings.

Scoring Trends

Itapipoca U20 VS Caucaia U20
0.2 Goals Scored 1.5
1.8 Goals Conceded 1.13
80% Over 1.5 88%
40% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Itapipoca U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Itapipoca U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
22 Aug
Itapipoca U20
0 : 3
Floresta EC U20
09 Aug
Ferroviario U20
2 : 0
Itapipoca U20
25 Jul
Itapipoca U20
1 : 2
Ceara U20
29 Jun
Itapipoca U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
Page 1 of 4

Caucaia U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Floresta EC U20
1 : 0
Caucaia U20
15 Jul
Caucaia U20
1 : 2
Fortaleza U20
06 Jun
Caucaia U20
0 : 0
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
23 May
Caucaia U20
0 : 2
Quixada U20
09 May
Juazeiro CE U20
0 : 2
Caucaia U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Acopiara U20 8 6 2 0 20:3 20
2 Iguatu U20 8 4 2 2 15:11 14
3 Icasa U20 8 3 0 5 6:13 9
4 Crato U20 8 2 2 4 7:12 8
5 Cariri FC U20 8 1 2 5 4:13 5
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Juventus CE U20 8 7 0 1 17:7 21
2 Santa Cruz CE U20 8 5 0 3 16:6 15
3 Sao Gerardo U20 8 4 2 2 15:8 14
4 CA Cearense U20 8 1 2 5 8:12 5
5 Alvinegro U20 8 0 2 6 6:29 2
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:9 19
2 Tirol U20 8 6 0 2 15:8 18
3 Atletico Cearense U20 8 3 1 4 9:12 10
4 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 1 3 4 7:14 6
5 Tiradentes U20 8 0 3 5 6:21 3
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 8 7 1 0 36:6 22
2 Ferroviario U20 8 4 1 3 17:11 13
3 Itapipoca U20 8 4 1 3 11:10 13
4 Caucaia U20 8 3 0 5 11:15 9
5 Terra e Mar U20 8 0 1 7 1:34 1
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Horizonte U20 6 4 1 1 13:9 13
2 Floresta EC U20 6 2 2 2 8:6 8
3 Pacatuba U20 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
4 Itarema U20 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Cearense U20 2024 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams