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Itarema U20 vs Horizonte U20

Brazil Brazil

Cearense U20 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Almeida Pereira C. I.
22' Event
Vitor Chagas
38' Event
Alves L.

AI Match Summary

The Cearense U20 2025 game between Itarema U20 and Horizonte U20 finished 1-6, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Horizonte U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Itarema U20
15%
Draws
85%
Horizonte U20
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Horizonte U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Horizonte U20 come out ahead of Itarema U20 on wins alone.
  • Model gives Horizonte U20 a 85% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Horizonte U20 have taken 3 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Itarema U20 Clean Sheet 10%
Horizonte U20 Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Itarema U20 Horizonte U20
Matches Played 13 27
Wins 1 10
Draws 1 6
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 0.62 1.56
Goals Conceded 2.92 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 0.98 2.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2025 Cearense U20
Itarema U20 vs Horizonte U20
1:6
Aug 7, 2024 Cearense U20
Itarema U20 vs Horizonte U20
1:2
May 31, 2024 Cearense U20
Horizonte U20 vs Itarema U20
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Itarema U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Lima E. A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.49

Horizonte U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Joao Amancio
2 Goals
Assists Leader Almeida Pereira C. I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.45
Avg xA / game 1.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Itarema U20 10 / 100
Horizonte U20 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Itarema U20 Horizonte U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Horizonte U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Itarema U20 scored in 62% of their last 13 outings.

Horizonte U20 let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Difficult form: Horizonte U20 registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Itarema U20 VS Horizonte U20
0.83 Goals Scored 1.38
4 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Itarema U20

(Home)
06 Sept
Itarema U20
1 : 6
Horizonte U20
23 Aug
Itarema U20
0 : 7
Ferroviario U20
30 Jul
Ceara U20
5 : 1
Itarema U20
12 Jul
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
2 : 1
Itarema U20
28 Jun
Itarema U20
1 : 2
Anjos do Ceu U20
Page 1 of 3

Horizonte U20

(Away)
18 Jul
Horizonte U20
0 : 1
Ferroviario U20
10 Jul
Floresta EC U20
2 : 1
Horizonte U20
19 Jun
Horizonte U20
3 : 0
Juazeiro CE U20
05 Jun
Horizonte U20
2 : 1
Atletico Cearense U20
23 May
Alianca Futebol Clube U20
2 : 2
Horizonte U20
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ceara U20 8 6 1 1 27:6 19
2 Floresta EC U20 8 5 1 2 16:2 16
3 Caucaia U20 8 4 1 3 10:10 13
4 Ferroviario U20 7 3 3 1 13:5 12
5 Horizonte U20 8 3 2 3 11:9 11
6 Anjos do Ceu U20 8 3 0 5 9:24 9
7 Alianca Futebol Clube U20 8 2 1 5 9:19 7
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fortaleza U20 7 6 1 0 21:2 19
2 Quixada U20 7 4 1 2 8:9 13
3 Tirol U20 7 3 3 1 11:5 12
4 Atletico Cearense U20 7 3 2 2 10:8 11
5 Pacatuba U20 7 3 0 4 11:14 9
6 Itapipoca U20 7 1 2 4 6:10 5
7 Itarema U20 7 0 0 7 5:28 0
8 Esporte Limoeiro U20 6 0 0 6 3:19 0
Promotion - Cearense U20 2025 (Play Offs)